Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Vidar vs Arendal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Vidar1.41
Arendal1.99
1X2
Vidar
Draw
Arendal
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vidar
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Arendal
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vidar
1–1–4
Arendal
(6 last)
- Arendal4-0Vidar
- Arendal1-0Vidar
- Vidar0-1Arendal
- Arendal3-0Vidar
- Vidar3-0Arendal
- Vidar0-0Arendal
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vidar 1422 · Arendal 1517
| Vidar | Draw | Arendal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| Market | 27% | 22% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arendal (rating 1422 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Arendal: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vidar | Arendal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.8 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 3.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidar 1–1–4 Arendal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Arendal | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Vidar |
| 19/10/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Arendal | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vidar |
| 16/05/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Vidar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Arendal |
| 15/09/18 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Arendal | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Vidar |
| 26/05/18 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Vidar | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Arendal |
| 17/10/15 Norway Division 2 Group 3 | Vidar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arendal |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | Notodden | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Kvik Halden FK | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 27 |
| 6 | Træff | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 7 | Bjarg | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Sotra | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | Pors Grenland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 20 | 19 |
| 10 | Arendal | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 17 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 14 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 6 |
| 14 | Eik Tønsberg | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 37 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vidar | Arendal |
|---|---|---|
| Jerv | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Eik Tønsberg | 4-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Pors Grenland | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Træff | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Sotra | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Arendal (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vidar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Arendal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vidar vs Arendal?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arendal win (51%). Probabilities: Vidar 27%, draw 23%, Arendal 51%.
How many goals are expected in Vidar vs Arendal?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Vidar 1.41 · Arendal 1.99), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vidar vs Arendal?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.