Prediction: Vidar vs Bjarg
- Bjarg3-1Vidar
- Vidar2-3Bjarg
- Bjarg4-2Vidar
- Bjarg4-2Vidar
- Vidar1-2Bjarg
| Vidar | Draw | Bjarg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 19% | 68% |
| Market | 14% | 18% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bjarg (rating 1439 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Bjarg: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vidar | Bjarg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.8 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidar 0–0–5 Bjarg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Bjarg | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Vidar |
| 02/09/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Vidar | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Bjarg |
| 29/04/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Bjarg | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Vidar |
| 10/09/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Bjarg | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Vidar |
| 22/05/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Vidar | 1-2 | Bjarg |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 42 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 36 |
| 3 | Sotra | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | Mjondalen | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 32 |
| 5 | Notodden | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 31 |
| 6 | Kvik Halden FK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Træff | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| 8 | Bjarg | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | Arendal | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 23 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 20 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 39 | 19 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 49 | 7 |
| 14 | Eik Tønsberg | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 44 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vidar | Bjarg |
|---|---|---|
| Sotra | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Træff | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Arendal | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Eik Tønsberg | 4-3 W | 2-0 W |
| Pors Grenland | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bjarg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vidar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Bjarg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vidar vs Bjarg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bjarg win (68%). Probabilities: Vidar 14%, draw 18%, Bjarg 68%.
How many goals are expected in Vidar vs Bjarg?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Vidar 1.05 · Bjarg 2.47), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vidar vs Bjarg?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.