Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 12/09, 14:00
Prediction: Eik Tønsberg vs Pors Grenland
Team pages: Eik Tønsberg · Pors Grenland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Eik Tønsberg1.33
Pors Grenland1.58
1X2
Eik Tønsberg
Draw
Pors Grenland
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Eik Tønsberg
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Pors Grenland
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eik Tønsberg
2–2–2
Pors Grenland
(6 last)
- Pors Grenland2-0Eik Tønsberg
- Pors Grenland0-2Eik Tønsberg
- Eik Tønsberg4-4Pors Grenland
- Eik Tønsberg1-1Pors Grenland
- Pors Grenland2-1Eik Tønsberg
- Pors Grenland3-4Eik Tønsberg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eik Tønsberg 1381 · Pors Grenland 1499
| Eik Tønsberg | Draw | Pors Grenland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pors Grenland (rating 1381 vs 1499).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eik Tønsberg | Pors Grenland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.5 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eik Tønsberg 2–2–2 Pors Grenland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Pors Grenland | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Eik Tønsberg |
| 06/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Pors Grenland | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Eik Tønsberg |
| 24/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Eik Tønsberg | 4-4 HT 2-0 | Pors Grenland |
| 07/10/23 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Eik Tønsberg | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Pors Grenland |
| 10/06/23 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Pors Grenland | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Eik Tønsberg |
| 30/07/22 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Pors Grenland | 3-4 HT 0-2 | Eik Tønsberg |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 42 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 36 |
| 3 | Sotra | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | Mjondalen | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 32 |
| 5 | Notodden | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 14 | 31 |
| 6 | Kvik Halden FK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Træff | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| 8 | Bjarg | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | Arendal | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 23 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 20 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 39 | 19 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 49 | 7 |
| 14 | Eik Tønsberg | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 44 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eik Tønsberg | Pors Grenland |
|---|---|---|
| Mjondalen | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Træff | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Vidar | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Arendal | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Bjarg | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pors Grenland (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eik Tønsberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Pors Grenland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eik Tønsberg vs Pors Grenland?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pors Grenland win (43%). Probabilities: Eik Tønsberg 32%, draw 25%, Pors Grenland 43%.
How many goals are expected in Eik Tønsberg vs Pors Grenland?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Eik Tønsberg 1.33 · Pors Grenland 1.58), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Eik Tønsberg vs Pors Grenland?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.