Prediction: Sotra vs Pors Grenland
Team pages: Sotra · Pors Grenland
- Pors Grenland0-0Sotra
- Sotra5-0Pors Grenland
- Pors Grenland0-2Sotra
| Sotra | Draw | Pors Grenland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sotra (rating 1550 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Sotra: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sotra | Pors Grenland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sotra 2–1–0 Pors Grenland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Pors Grenland | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sotra |
| 20/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Sotra | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Pors Grenland |
| 31/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Pors Grenland | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sotra |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 48 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 39 |
| 3 | Bjarg | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 38 |
| 4 | Mjondalen | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 38 |
| 5 | Sotra | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Notodden | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 35 |
| 7 | Kvik Halden FK | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | Træff | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 36 | 30 |
| 9 | Arendal | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 26 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 23 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 43 | 19 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 10 |
| 14 | Eik Tønsberg | 20 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 21 | 47 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sotra | Pors Grenland |
|---|---|---|
| Eik Tønsberg | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Træff | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Bjarg | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Arendal | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Jerv | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sotra (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sotra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Pors Grenland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sotra vs Pors Grenland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sotra win (68%). Probabilities: Sotra 68%, draw 20%, Pors Grenland 12%.
How many goals are expected in Sotra vs Pors Grenland?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Sotra 2.06 · Pors Grenland 0.74), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sotra vs Pors Grenland?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.