Prediction: Bjarg vs Sotra

Team pages: Bjarg · Sotra

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Bjarg1.64
Sotra1.37
1X2
43% 25% 32%
Bjarg Draw Sotra
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bjarg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWWWWLLW
Sotra 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWWLDLLLLW
Head-to-head
Bjarg 1–2 Sotra (3 last)
  • Sotra1-2Bjarg
  • Sotra5-0Bjarg
  • Bjarg0-2Sotra
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bjarg 1516 · Sotra 1483
BjargDrawSotra
Our model43%26%31%
Market44%24%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sotra: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BjargSotra
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.71.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.91.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.83.3 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.43 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bjarg 102 Sotra

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/05/26
Norway Division 2 Group 1
Sotra1-2
HT 0-0
Bjarg
18/02/23
Europe Friendlies
Sotra5-0
HT 1-0
Bjarg
02/04/22
Europe Friendlies
Bjarg0-2
HT 0-0
Sotra

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jerv 141022 281532
2 Kvik Halden FK 14833 271827
3 Brattvåg 14824 261526
4 Mjondalen 14824 271926
5 Bjarg 14815 252025
6 Notodden 14734 211124
7 Træff 14644 272322
8 Sotra 14635 271421
9 Pors Grenland 14545 161819
10 Arendal 14356 182314
11 Sandviken 14428 213214
12 Lysekloster 14356 172814
13 Vidar 141310 13376
14 Eik Tønsberg 141112 16364

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBjargSotra
Pors Grenland 0-1 L 0-0 D
Vidar 3-1 W 3-1 W
Eik Tønsberg 2-0 W 6-0 W
Brattvåg 2-6 L 0-1 L
Jerv 1-3 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sotra (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bjarg

DLLWWWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 3-0 W
25/07 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-1 86 L
27/06 Mjondalen
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-1 12 L
20/06 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 3-1 W
14/06 Træff
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-1 3-2 87 W
30/05 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-0 42 W
25/05 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-1 43 W
14/05 Brattvåg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-5 2-6 23 L
10/05 Jerv
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 1-3 64 L
02/05 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 2-2 55 D

Sotra

DWWLDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Arendal
Norway Division 2 Group 1
3-0 3-0 123 W
25/07 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-1 31 L
28/06 Jerv
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 1-3 87 L
20/06 Kvik Halden FK
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 1-2 91 L
14/06 Brattvåg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-1 57 L
31/05 Arendal
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 1-1 52 D
25/05 Bjarg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 1-2 53 L
14/05 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-1 3-1 63 W
10/05 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
6-0 6-0 92 W
03/05 Pors Grenland
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-0 92 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bjarg vs Sotra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bjarg win (43%). Probabilities: Bjarg 43%, draw 25%, Sotra 32%.

How many goals are expected in Bjarg vs Sotra?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Bjarg 1.64 · Sotra 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bjarg vs Sotra?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.