Prediction: Bjarg vs Notodden
- Notodden0-1Bjarg
| Bjarg | Draw | Notodden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Market | 65% | 19% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bjarg (rating 1578 vs 1500).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bjarg | Notodden | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.1 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bjarg 1–0–0 Notodden
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Notodden | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bjarg |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 28 | 45 |
| 3 | Bjarg | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 44 |
| 4 | Mjondalen | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 44 |
| 5 | Sotra | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 39 |
| 6 | Notodden | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Kvik Halden FK | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | Træff | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 44 | 30 |
| 9 | Pors Grenland | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 31 | 26 |
| 10 | Arendal | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 26 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 45 | 25 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 48 | 15 |
| 13 | Eik Tønsberg | 22 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 50 | 10 |
| 14 | Vidar | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 60 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bjarg | Notodden |
|---|---|---|
| Kvik Halden FK | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Eik Tønsberg | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Træff | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Arendal | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Mjondalen | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sotra | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Lysekloster | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bjarg (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bjarg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
4-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Notodden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bjarg vs Notodden?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bjarg win (64%). Probabilities: Bjarg 64%, draw 21%, Notodden 15%.
How many goals are expected in Bjarg vs Notodden?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Bjarg 1.98 · Notodden 0.83), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bjarg vs Notodden?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.