Prediction: Vidar vs Mjondalen

Team pages: Vidar · Mjondalen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Vidar1.17
Mjondalen2.23
1X2
18% 21% 61%
Vidar Draw Mjondalen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Vidar 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLDLLW
Mjondalen 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLLWW
Head-to-head
Vidar 0–1 Mjondalen (1 last)
  • Mjondalen2-0Vidar
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vidar 1436 · Mjondalen 1539
VidarDrawMjondalen
Our model18%21%60%
Market19%20%61%
Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mjondalen (rating 1436 vs 1539).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VidarMjondalen
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 31.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.52 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.32.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidar 0–0–1 Mjondalen

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Norway Division 2 Group 1
Mjondalen2-0
HT 1-0
Vidar

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jerv 201532 431848
2 Brattvåg 201235 412439
3 Bjarg 201226 422638
4 Mjondalen 201226 362738
5 Sotra 201136 422036
6 Notodden 201055 301635
7 Kvik Halden FK 20947 282431
8 Træff 20866 363630
9 Arendal 20758 283426
10 Pors Grenland 20659 222723
11 Sandviken 205411 294319
12 Lysekloster 203512 214214
13 Vidar 202414 185310
14 Eik Tønsberg 202117 21477

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVidarMjondalen
Bjarg 1-4 L 0-1 L
Sotra 0-3 L 3-1 W
Jerv 0-4 L 0-3 L
Eik Tønsberg 4-3 W 2-1 W
Kvik Halden FK 2-4 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mjondalen (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vidar

LLLWLLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Sandviken
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-0 –– W
12/09 Bjarg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 1-4 83 L
05/09 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-3 –– L
30/08 Træff
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 2-2 –– D
15/08 Arendal
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 1-3 32 L
08/08 Jerv
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-4 25 L
02/08 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 4-3 64 W
25/07 Arendal
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-4 42 L
27/06 Kvik Halden FK
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 2-4 44 L
20/06 Bjarg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 1-3 –– L

Mjondalen

WWWLWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
3-0 3-1 43 W
12/09 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-2 3-2 –– W
05/09 Jerv
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-2 0-3 42 L
30/08 Bjarg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-1 43 L
15/08 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 2-1 101 W
08/08 Kvik Halden FK
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-0 21 W
01/08 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-1 34 L
25/07 Brattvåg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-0 5-3 –– W
27/06 Bjarg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 1-0 32 W
20/06 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-1 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vidar vs Mjondalen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mjondalen win (61%). Probabilities: Vidar 18%, draw 21%, Mjondalen 61%.

How many goals are expected in Vidar vs Mjondalen?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Vidar 1.17 · Mjondalen 2.23), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vidar vs Mjondalen?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.