Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: Arendal vs Brattvåg

Team pages: Arendal · Brattvåg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Arendal1.67

Brattvåg1.9

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Arendal Draw Brattvåg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Arendal 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLWL

Brattvåg 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Arendal 1–1–4 Brattvåg (6 last)

Brattvåg2-0Arendal
Brattvåg2-0Arendal
Arendal3-3Brattvåg
Arendal3-0Brattvåg
Brattvåg3-2Arendal
Arendal0-3Brattvåg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arendal 1506 · Brattvåg 1534

	Arendal	Draw	Brattvåg
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Brattvåg: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arendal	Brattvåg
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	1.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.89 ★
X	3.70 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.10▼	Pinn 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:15 +3’	2.35	3.70	2.40
16:11 +12’	2.70▲	3.75▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:55 +28’	2.89	3.56	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Arendal 1–1–4 Brattvåg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Brattvåg	2-0 HT 1-0	Arendal
05/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Brattvåg	2-0 HT 0-0	Arendal
08/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Arendal	3-3 HT 1-3	Brattvåg
22/09/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Arendal	3-0 HT 1-0	Brattvåg
05/05/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Brattvåg	3-2 HT 1-1	Arendal
12/08/23 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Arendal	0-3 HT 0-2	Brattvåg

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	20	15	3	2	43	18	48
2	Brattvåg	20	12	3	5	41	24	39
3	Bjarg	20	12	2	6	42	26	38
4	Mjondalen	20	12	2	6	36	27	38
5	Sotra	20	11	3	6	42	20	36
6	Notodden	20	10	5	5	30	16	35
7	Kvik Halden FK	20	9	4	7	28	24	31
8	Træff	20	8	6	6	36	36	30
9	Arendal	20	7	5	8	28	34	26
10	Pors Grenland	20	6	5	9	22	27	23
11	Sandviken	20	5	4	11	29	43	19
12	Lysekloster	20	3	5	12	21	42	14
13	Vidar	20	2	4	14	18	53	10
14	Eik Tønsberg	20	2	1	17	21	47	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arendal	Brattvåg
Notodden	1-4 L	3-0 W
Kvik Halden FK	2-0 W	1-0 W
Lysekloster	2-1 W	3-1 W
Pors Grenland	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arendal

WWWLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-2	1-4	7	1	L
13/09	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
06/09	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	0-4	0	2	L
30/08	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
15/08	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	3-1	8	2	W
08/08	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
02/08	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-3	0-3	4	3	L
25/07	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	4-0	10	2	W
27/06	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	4-2	11	4	W
21/06	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	3-1	7	4	W

Brattvåg

LDLDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	1-3	4	2	L
05/09	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-2	4-4	6	4	D
15/08	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
09/08	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
01/08	Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
25/07	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	3-5	–	–	L
27/06	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/06	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arendal vs Brattvåg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brattvåg win (43%). Probabilities: Arendal 33%, draw 24%, Brattvåg 43%.

How many goals are expected in Arendal vs Brattvåg?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Arendal 1.67 · Brattvåg 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Arendal vs Brattvåg?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.