Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: Vidar vs Brattvåg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.24Total
Vidar1.25
Brattvåg3
1X2
Vidar
Draw
Brattvåg
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Vidar
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Brattvåg
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vidar
1–2–2
Brattvåg
(5 last)
- Brattvåg3-0Vidar
- Vidar2-2Brattvåg
- Brattvåg0-2Vidar
- Brattvåg4-1Vidar
- Vidar1-1Brattvåg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vidar 1428 · Brattvåg 1563
| Vidar | Draw | Brattvåg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| Market | 12% | 16% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.24 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brattvåg (rating 1428 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Brattvåg: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vidar | Brattvåg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 2.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 4.9 | 1.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidar 1–2–2 Brattvåg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Brattvåg | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Vidar |
| 07/09/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Vidar | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Brattvåg |
| 12/05/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Brattvåg | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Vidar |
| 02/09/18 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Brattvåg | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Vidar |
| 12/05/18 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Vidar | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Brattvåg |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 28 | 45 |
| 3 | Bjarg | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 44 |
| 4 | Mjondalen | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 44 |
| 5 | Sotra | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 39 |
| 6 | Notodden | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Kvik Halden FK | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | Træff | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 44 | 30 |
| 9 | Pors Grenland | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 31 | 26 |
| 10 | Arendal | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 26 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 45 | 25 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 48 | 15 |
| 13 | Eik Tønsberg | 22 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 50 | 10 |
| 14 | Vidar | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 60 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vidar | Brattvåg |
|---|---|---|
| Pors Grenland | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Mjondalen | 1-3 L | 3-5 L |
| Sandviken | 1-0 W | 4-4 D |
| Sotra | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Arendal | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Jerv | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Eik Tønsberg | 4-3 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Brattvåg (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vidar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Brattvåg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vidar vs Brattvåg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brattvåg win (72%). Probabilities: Vidar 12%, draw 16%, Brattvåg 72%.
How many goals are expected in Vidar vs Brattvåg?
The model expects 4.24 goals (Vidar 1.25 · Brattvåg 3), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Vidar vs Brattvåg?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.