Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Strindheim vs Kvik Trondheim

Team pages: Strindheim · Kvik Trondheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.36Total

Strindheim2.99

Kvik Trondheim1.37

1X2

69% 16% 14%

Strindheim Draw Kvik Trondheim

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Strindheim 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Kvik Trondheim 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Strindheim 2–0 Kvik Trondheim (2 last)

Kvik Trondheim2-3Strindheim
Kvik Trondheim2-3Strindheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strindheim 1573 · Kvik Trondheim 1396

	Strindheim	Draw	Kvik Trondheim
Our model	70%	16%	14%
Market	69%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.36 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Strindheim (rating 1573 vs 1396).
H2H favours Strindheim: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Strindheim	Kvik Trondheim
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.2	1.3 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.2	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
18:10 +7’	1.28	5.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Strindheim 2–0–0 Kvik Trondheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Kvik Trondheim	2-3 HT 1-0	Strindheim
19/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Kvik Trondheim	2-3 HT 1-2	Strindheim

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	18	12	3	3	48	19	39
2	Strindheim	18	11	3	4	44	28	36
3	Melhus	18	10	5	3	47	23	35
4	Herd	18	8	3	7	42	30	27
5	Rosenborg 2	18	7	4	7	36	30	25
6	Spjelkavik	18	7	4	7	36	36	25
7	Byåsen	18	7	4	7	34	37	25
8	Molde 2	17	6	4	7	47	51	22
9	Kvik Trondheim	17	6	3	8	31	42	21
10	Ranheim 2	17	5	5	7	43	58	20
11	NTNUI	18	4	6	8	23	38	18
12	Orkla	18	5	3	10	35	51	18
13	Nardo	17	5	2	10	33	40	17
14	Aalesunds FK 2	16	5	1	10	29	45	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strindheim	Kvik Trondheim
Melhus	1-0 W	1-1 D
NTNUI	4-0 W	3-4 L
Aalesunds FK 2	2-0 W	3-2 W
Molde 2	4-2 W	3-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Strindheim (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strindheim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
30/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	4-0	3	1	W
08/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	11	0	W
26/07	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
25/06	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
21/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
13/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
31/05	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-3	6	3	L

Kvik Trondheim

DLDLLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-7	3	2	L
30/08	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
17/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	3-2	9	4	W
09/08	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	3-6	–	–	L
03/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
27/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
20/06	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
15/06	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
03/06	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	3-4	1	7	L
30/05	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strindheim vs Kvik Trondheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Strindheim win (69%). Probabilities: Strindheim 69%, draw 16%, Kvik Trondheim 14%.

How many goals are expected in Strindheim vs Kvik Trondheim?

The model expects 4.36 goals (Strindheim 2.99 · Kvik Trondheim 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Strindheim vs Kvik Trondheim?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.