Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Staal Jørpeland vs Vindbjart

Team pages: Staal Jørpeland · Vindbjart

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.39Total

Staal Jørpeland2.38

Vindbjart2.01

1X2

46% 21% 33%

Staal Jørpeland Draw Vindbjart

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Staal Jørpeland 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDLWLL

Vindbjart 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Staal Jørpeland 2–2–2 Vindbjart (6 last)

Vindbjart3-3Staal Jørpeland
Staal Jørpeland3-1Vindbjart
Vindbjart4-1Staal Jørpeland
Staal Jørpeland0-1Vindbjart
Vindbjart2-2Staal Jørpeland
Vindbjart2-3Staal Jørpeland

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Staal Jørpeland	Vindbjart
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.5	2.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	4.8 / 8.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 41.92

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 11:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.92 → 2.07▲	Pinn 2.07
X	5.27 → 5.34▲	Pinn 5.34
2	2.41 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.20

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:56	1.92	5.27	2.41
06:08 +71’	2.15▲	5.27	2.13▼
09:03 +16’	2.14▼	5.31▲	2.13
10:44 +48’	2.07▼	5.34▲	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Staal Jørpeland 2–2–2 Vindbjart

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Vindbjart	3-3 HT 0-2	Staal Jørpeland
11/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Staal Jørpeland	3-1 HT 2-0	Vindbjart
03/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Vindbjart	4-1 HT 0-0	Staal Jørpeland
10/08/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Staal Jørpeland	0-1 HT 0-0	Vindbjart
01/06/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Vindbjart	2-2 HT 0-2	Staal Jørpeland
11/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Vindbjart	2-3	Staal Jørpeland

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	24	15	6	3	63	29	51
2	Mandalskameratene	24	14	4	6	58	37	46
3	Varhaug	25	12	6	7	49	41	42
4	Flekkerøy	24	12	3	9	46	39	39
5	Vindbjart	24	12	2	10	54	35	38
6	Brodd	24	11	3	10	48	42	36
7	Viking 2	24	10	5	9	59	38	35
8	Vag FK	24	11	2	11	41	39	35
9	Stabaek 2	24	10	3	11	51	54	33
10	Odd II	24	8	5	11	40	54	29
11	Staal Jørpeland	24	7	5	12	46	61	26
12	Hinna	24	7	5	12	46	69	26
13	Haugesund 2	25	7	4	14	46	70	25
14	Åkra	24	5	3	16	32	71	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Staal Jørpeland	Vindbjart
Madla	1-3 L	3-4 L
Hinna	4-2 W	2-0 W
Varhaug	2-4 L	3-4 L
Viking 2	2-2 D	1-5 L
Brodd	3-1 W	2-0 W
Mandalskameratene	0-2 L	0-1 L
Stabaek 2	1-2 L	1-3 L
Haugesund 2	3-4 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Vindbjart (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Staal Jørpeland

WLLLWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	1-3	2	1	L
10/10	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
02/10	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	4-2	6	3	W
25/09	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-4	3	6	L
21/09	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-1	5	6	W
05/09	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
17/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-4	2	2	L
08/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	4	2	W

Vindbjart

LWWWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	3-4	–	–	L
10/10	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	1-5	6	4	L
03/10	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	1-2	12	3	L
26/09	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-0	12	1	W
19/09	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-3	7	4	L
05/09	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	16	5	W
30/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
15/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-0	6-0	4	9	W
08/08	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-4	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Staal Jørpeland vs Vindbjart?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Staal Jørpeland win (46%). Probabilities: Staal Jørpeland 46%, draw 21%, Vindbjart 33%.

How many goals are expected in Staal Jørpeland vs Vindbjart?

The model expects 4.39 goals (Staal Jørpeland 2.38 · Vindbjart 2.01), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Staal Jørpeland vs Vindbjart?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.