Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Hinna vs Mandalskameratene

Team pages: Hinna · Mandalskameratene

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Hinna1.59

Mandalskameratene2.16

1X2

29% 19% 52%

Hinna Draw Mandalskameratene

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hinna 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWLLWD

Mandalskameratene 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Hinna 2–0 Mandalskameratene (2 last)

Mandalskameratene1-2Hinna
Hinna2-0Mandalskameratene

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hinna 1483 · Mandalskameratene 1563

	Hinna	Draw	Mandalskameratene
Our model	28%	22%	50%
Market	30%	17%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mandalskameratene (rating 1483 vs 1563).
H2H favours Hinna: 2-0-0.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hinna	Mandalskameratene
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.5	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	4.7 / 8.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X5.50

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.61 → 1.73▲	Pinn 1.77 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:02 +56’	3.20	5.50	1.61
03:56 +8’	3.00▼	5.50	1.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:38 +27’	2.98	4.59	1.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hinna 2–0–0 Mandalskameratene

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Mandalskameratene	1-2 HT 0-1	Hinna
02/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Hinna	2-0 HT 1-0	Mandalskameratene

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	25	15	6	4	63	31	51
2	Mandalskameratene	25	15	4	6	60	37	49
3	Varhaug	25	12	6	7	49	41	42
4	Flekkerøy	25	13	3	9	48	40	42
5	Brodd	25	12	3	10	54	43	39
6	Vindbjart	25	12	2	11	56	38	38
7	Vag FK	25	12	2	11	45	41	38
8	Viking 2	25	10	5	10	60	40	35
9	Stabaek 2	25	10	4	11	53	56	34
10	Staal Jørpeland	25	8	5	12	49	63	29
11	Odd II	25	8	5	12	42	58	29
12	Hinna	25	7	6	12	48	71	27
13	Haugesund 2	25	7	4	14	46	70	25
14	Åkra	25	5	3	17	33	77	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hinna	Mandalskameratene
Stabaek 2	2-2 D	0-1 L
Staal Jørpeland	2-4 L	2-0 W
Haugesund 2	4-2 W	4-3 W
Åkra	2-2 D	4-0 W
Madla	1-4 L	2-0 W
Vindbjart	0-2 L	1-0 W
Vag FK	3-0 W	2-1 W
Odd II	2-3 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mandalskameratene (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hinna

LWLLDWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-2	4	2	D
17/10	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-1	4-2	3	9	W
10/10	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-4	1	6	L
02/10	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	2-4	7	3	L
28/09	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
19/09	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	11	2	D
12/09	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-4	1-4	8	5	L
05/09	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
30/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-3	–	–	L

Mandalskameratene

WLWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
11/10	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-1	13	2	L
03/10	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	6	3	W
26/09	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/08	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hinna vs Mandalskameratene?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mandalskameratene win (52%). Probabilities: Hinna 29%, draw 19%, Mandalskameratene 52%.

How many goals are expected in Hinna vs Mandalskameratene?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Hinna 1.59 · Mandalskameratene 2.16), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Hinna vs Mandalskameratene?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.