Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 01/11, 12:00
Prediction: Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland
Team pages: Flekkerøy · Staal Jørpeland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Flekkerøy2.1
Staal Jørpeland1.56
1X2
Flekkerøy
Draw
Staal Jørpeland
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Flekkerøy
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Staal Jørpeland
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Flekkerøy
4–2–0
Staal Jørpeland
(6 last)
- Staal Jørpeland1-1Flekkerøy
- Flekkerøy2-2Staal Jørpeland
- Staal Jørpeland1-2Flekkerøy
- Staal Jørpeland1-3Flekkerøy
- Flekkerøy3-1Staal Jørpeland
- Flekkerøy4-1Staal Jørpeland
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flekkerøy 1491 · Staal Jørpeland 1468
| Flekkerøy | Draw | Staal Jørpeland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Flekkerøy: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flekkerøy | Staal Jørpeland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flekkerøy 4–2–0 Staal Jørpeland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Staal Jørpeland | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Flekkerøy |
| 15/10/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Flekkerøy | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Staal Jørpeland |
| 18/04/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Staal Jørpeland | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Flekkerøy |
| 12/10/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Staal Jørpeland | 1-3 | Flekkerøy |
| 13/04/19 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Flekkerøy | 3-1 | Staal Jørpeland |
| 21/10/17 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Flekkerøy | 4-1 | Staal Jørpeland |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 63 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | Mandalskameratene | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 60 | 37 | 49 |
| 3 | Varhaug | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 42 |
| 4 | Flekkerøy | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 40 | 42 |
| 5 | Brodd | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 39 |
| 6 | Vindbjart | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 56 | 38 | 38 |
| 7 | Vag FK | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 38 |
| 8 | Viking 2 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 60 | 40 | 35 |
| 9 | Stabaek 2 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 56 | 34 |
| 10 | Staal Jørpeland | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 49 | 63 | 29 |
| 11 | Odd II | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 58 | 29 |
| 12 | Hinna | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 71 | 27 |
| 13 | Haugesund 2 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 70 | 25 |
| 14 | Åkra | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 77 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Flekkerøy | Staal Jørpeland |
|---|---|---|
| Viking 2 | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Vag FK | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Vindbjart | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Stabaek 2 | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Varhaug | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Mandalskameratene | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Madla | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Brodd | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Flekkerøy (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flekkerøy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/10 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Staal Jørpeland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/10 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/09 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Flekkerøy win (49%). Probabilities: Flekkerøy 49%, draw 24%, Staal Jørpeland 28%.
How many goals are expected in Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland?
The model expects 3.66 goals (Flekkerøy 2.1 · Staal Jørpeland 1.56), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.