Prediction: Brodd vs Åkra

Team pages: Brodd · Åkra

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.16Total
Brodd2.9
Åkra1.27
1X2
70% 16% 14%
Brodd Draw Åkra
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Brodd 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLLDLWWW
Åkra 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDLLLW
Head-to-head
Brodd 2–1–1 Åkra (4 last)
  • Åkra1-4Brodd
  • Åkra3-2Brodd
  • Brodd3-1Åkra
  • Åkra1-1Brodd
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brodd 1521 · Åkra 1399
BroddDrawÅkra
Our model70%16%13%
Market71%16%14%
Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brodd (rating 1521 vs 1399).
  • H2H favours Brodd: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BroddÅkra
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.2 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.4 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.62.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.64.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brodd 2–1–1 Åkra

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/26
Norway Division 3 Group 4
Åkra1-4
HT 0-1
Brodd
23/10/22
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Åkra3-2Brodd
09/04/22
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Brodd3-1
HT 0-0
Åkra
04/09/21
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Åkra1-1Brodd

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Madla 241563 632951
2 Mandalskameratene 241446 583746
3 Varhaug 251267 494142
4 Flekkerøy 241239 463939
5 Vindbjart 2412210 543538
6 Brodd 2411310 484236
7 Viking 2 241059 593835
8 Vag FK 2411211 413935
9 Stabaek 2 2410311 515433
10 Odd II 248511 405429
11 Staal Jørpeland 247512 466126
12 Hinna 247512 466926
13 Haugesund 2 257414 467025
14 Åkra 245316 327118

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBroddÅkra
Odd II 4-0 W 1-2 L
Hinna 4-0 W 2-2 D
Madla 1-0 W 0-6 L
Vindbjart 0-2 L 0-6 L
Vag FK 2-2 D 2-3 L
Varhaug 0-3 L 1-2 L
Flekkerøy 1-0 W 1-4 L
Mandalskameratene 1-2 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Brodd (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brodd

LWWLLDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Odd II
Norway Division 3 Group 4
1-0 4-0 –– W
10/10 Hinna
Norway Division 3 Group 4
2-0 4-0 36 W
04/10 Madla
Norway Division 3 Group 4
1-0 1-0 45 W
26/09 Vindbjart
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-2 0-2 71 L
19/09 Vag FK
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-1 2-2 312 D
12/09 Staal Jørpeland
Norway Division 3 Group 4
1-2 1-3 36 L
05/09 Varhaug
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-1 0-3 33 L
30/08 Viking 2
Norway Division 3 Group 4
1-1 3-1 92 W
15/08 Flekkerøy
Norway Division 3 Group 4
1-0 1-0 –– W
08/08 Mandalskameratene
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-0 1-2 –– L

Åkra

LLLLLDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 Stabaek 2
Norway Division 3 Group 4
3-2 5-3 –– W
12/10 Haugesund 2
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-1 0-2 –– L
03/10 Mandalskameratene
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-1 0-4 63 L
26/09 Madla
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-2 0-6 –– L
19/09 Hinna
Norway Division 3 Group 4
1-0 2-2 42 D
14/09 Odd II
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-2 1-2 35 L
05/09 Vag FK
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-2 2-3 –– L
30/08 Flekkerøy
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-1 1-4 –– L
15/08 Vindbjart
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-3 0-6 49 L
07/08 Varhaug
Norway Division 3 Group 4
0-1 1-2 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brodd vs Åkra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brodd win (70%). Probabilities: Brodd 70%, draw 16%, Åkra 14%.

How many goals are expected in Brodd vs Åkra?

The model expects 4.16 goals (Brodd 2.9 · Åkra 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brodd vs Åkra?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.