Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 15/08, 15:00
Prediction: Skjervøy vs Fløya
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
Skjervøy2.16
Fløya2.23
1X2
Skjervøy
Draw
Fløya
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
Skjervøy
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Fløya
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Skjervøy
1–5
Fløya
(6 last)
- Fløya4-1Skjervøy
- Fløya5-2Skjervøy
- Skjervøy0-3Fløya
- Skjervøy2-1Fløya
- Fløya4-1Skjervøy
- Skjervøy0-1Fløya
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fløya (rating 1473 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Fløya: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Skjervøy | Fløya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 3.2 | 2.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 1 | 2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Skjervøy 1–0–5 Fløya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Fløya | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Skjervøy |
| 12/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Fløya | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Skjervøy |
| 03/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Skjervøy | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Fløya |
| 13/04/25 Norway Cup | Skjervøy | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fløya |
| 26/09/24 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Fløya | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Skjervøy |
| 15/06/24 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Skjervøy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fløya |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 | Fløya | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Finnsnes IL | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Harstad | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 24 | 24 |
| 5 | Alta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 26 | 23 |
| 6 | Skjetten | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 34 | 23 |
| 7 | Fauske/Sprint | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 51 | 22 |
| 8 | Lillestrøm 2 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 35 | 21 |
| 9 | Strømsgodset 2 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | Kongsvinger 2 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 36 | 20 |
| 11 | Skjervøy | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 44 | 20 |
| 12 | IL Ulfstind | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 52 | 14 |
| 13 | Tromso 2 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 31 | 13 |
| 14 | Bossekop | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 48 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Skjervøy | Fløya |
|---|---|---|
| IL Ulfstind | 3-1 W | 7-0 W |
| Alta | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Strømsgodset 2 | 1-5 L | 4-0 W |
| Bossekop | 3-8 L | 5-2 W |
| Skedsmo | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Fauske/Sprint | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Kongsvinger 2 | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Fløya (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Skjervøy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 30/07 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-4 | 3-8 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Fløya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Skjervøy vs Fløya?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fløya win (41%). Probabilities: Skjervøy 38%, draw 21%, Fløya 41%.
How many goals are expected in Skjervøy vs Fløya?
The model expects 4.39 goals (Skjervøy 2.16 · Fløya 2.23), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Skjervøy vs Fløya?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.