Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 16/08, 14:00
Prediction: Strømsgodset 2 vs Skedsmo
Team pages: Strømsgodset 2 · Skedsmo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Strømsgodset 21.7
Skedsmo2.01
1X2
Strømsgodset 2
Draw
Skedsmo
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Strømsgodset 2
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Skedsmo
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Strømsgodset 2
3–1–2
Skedsmo
(6 last)
- Skedsmo3-0Strømsgodset 2
- Skedsmo2-1Strømsgodset 2
- Strømsgodset 25-3Skedsmo
- Skedsmo0-2Strømsgodset 2
- Strømsgodset 24-1Skedsmo
- Skedsmo2-2Strømsgodset 2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Strømsgodset 2 1466 · Skedsmo 1582
| Strømsgodset 2 | Draw | Skedsmo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| Market | 33% | 22% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.71 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skedsmo (rating 1466 vs 1582).
- H2H favours Strømsgodset 2: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Strømsgodset 2 | Skedsmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.3 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strømsgodset 2 3–1–2 Skedsmo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Skedsmo | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Strømsgodset 2 |
| 29/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Skedsmo | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Strømsgodset 2 |
| 26/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Strømsgodset 2 | 5-3 HT 3-2 | Skedsmo |
| 01/10/18 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Skedsmo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Strømsgodset 2 |
| 11/06/18 Norway Division 3 Group 2 | Strømsgodset 2 | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Skedsmo |
| 28/01/17 Europe Friendlies | Skedsmo | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Strømsgodset 2 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 | Fløya | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Finnsnes IL | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Harstad | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 24 | 24 |
| 5 | Alta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 26 | 23 |
| 6 | Skjetten | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 34 | 23 |
| 7 | Fauske/Sprint | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 51 | 22 |
| 8 | Lillestrøm 2 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 35 | 21 |
| 9 | Strømsgodset 2 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | Kongsvinger 2 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 36 | 20 |
| 11 | Skjervøy | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 44 | 20 |
| 12 | IL Ulfstind | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 52 | 14 |
| 13 | Tromso 2 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 31 | 13 |
| 14 | Bossekop | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 48 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Strømsgodset 2 | Skedsmo |
|---|---|---|
| Kongsvinger 2 | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Tromso 2 | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Finnsnes IL | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Skjervøy | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Fløya | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Lillestrøm 2 | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Alta | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Skedsmo (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strømsgodset 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Skedsmo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 5-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Strømsgodset 2 vs Skedsmo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Skedsmo win (45%). Probabilities: Strømsgodset 2 33%, draw 23%, Skedsmo 45%.
How many goals are expected in Strømsgodset 2 vs Skedsmo?
The model expects 3.71 goals (Strømsgodset 2 1.7 · Skedsmo 2.01), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Strømsgodset 2 vs Skedsmo?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.