Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: Skedsmo vs IL Ulfstind

Team pages: Skedsmo · IL Ulfstind

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.71Total
Skedsmo3.36
IL Ulfstind1.36
1X2
82% 10% 8%
Skedsmo Draw IL Ulfstind
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Skedsmo 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWWDWW
IL Ulfstind 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDWLLWLLLL
Head-to-head
Skedsmo 0–1 IL Ulfstind (1 last)
  • IL Ulfstind5-2Skedsmo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skedsmo 1555 · IL Ulfstind 1413
SkedsmoDrawIL Ulfstind
Our model75%14%11%
Market87%8%5%
Estimated total (ours) 4.71 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skedsmo (rating 1555 vs 1413).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SkedsmoIL Ulfstind
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.11.6 / 4.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.4 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.41 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 04.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skedsmo 0–0–1 IL Ulfstind

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Norway Division 3 Group 5
IL Ulfstind5-2
HT 2-1
Skedsmo

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Skedsmo 201514 432546
2 Harstad 201235 663139
3 Fløya 201235 553239
4 Alta 201064 462836
5 Finnsnes IL 201028 373432
6 Fauske/Sprint 20947 586531
7 Skjetten 20938 494230
8 Lillestrøm 2 209011 654527
9 Skjervøy 207310 335424
10 Strømsgodset 2 207211 394423
11 Kongsvinger 2 207211 365723
12 Bossekop 205411 346719
13 Tromso 2 204511 384117
14 IL Ulfstind 204214 367014

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSkedsmoIL Ulfstind
Skjervøy 2-1 W 1-3 L
Lillestrøm 2 2-1 W 1-10 L
Tromso 2 3-1 W 3-1 W
Fauske/Sprint 5-3 W 1-6 L
Kongsvinger 2 3-1 W 1-2 L
Skjetten 0-1 L 4-2 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Skedsmo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skedsmo

WLWLWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Skjervøy
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-1 2-1 –– W
14/09 Lillestrøm 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-0 2-1 32 W
06/09 Alta
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-0 0-0 –– D
30/08 Tromso 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-0 3-1 85 W
16/08 Strømsgodset 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-0 1-0 01 W
08/08 Fauske/Sprint
Norway Division 3 Group 5
2-1 5-3 31 W
02/08 Finnsnes IL
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-0 0-1 46 L
27/07 Kongsvinger 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
2-1 3-1 –– W
26/06 Skjetten
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-0 0-1 44 L
21/06 Tromso 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-1 3-2 93 W

IL Ulfstind

LDWLLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Bossekop
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-1 3-4 –– L
12/09 Harstad
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-3 1-6 –– L
05/09 Fauske/Sprint
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-2 1-6 –– L
30/08 Kongsvinger 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-2 1-2 53 L
15/08 Skjetten
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-2 4-2 –– W
06/08 Fløya
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-3 0-7 –– L
30/07 Skjervøy
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-2 1-3 –– L
25/07 Tromso 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-0 3-1 –– W
27/06 Harstad
Norway Division 3 Group 5
1-0 1-1 –– D
20/06 Lillestrøm 2
Norway Division 3 Group 5
0-4 1-10 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skedsmo vs IL Ulfstind?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skedsmo win (82%). Probabilities: Skedsmo 82%, draw 10%, IL Ulfstind 8%.

How many goals are expected in Skedsmo vs IL Ulfstind?

The model expects 4.71 goals (Skedsmo 3.36 · IL Ulfstind 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Skedsmo vs IL Ulfstind?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.