Prediction: Hills United FC vs Northern Tigers
Expected goals: 2.73 (Hills United FC 1.25 · Northern Tigers 1.47). The model gives 32% home, 26% draw, 42% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Hills United FC sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Northern Tigers arrives on a 4-4-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Hills United FC and 3 for Northern Tigers, with 1 draw.
| Hills United FC | Draw | Northern Tigers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Northern Tigers: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hills United FC | Northern Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6 | 3.7 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hills United FC 2–1–3 Northern Tigers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Northern Tigers | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hills United FC |
| 07/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Hills United FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Northern Tigers |
| 28/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying | Northern Tigers | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Hills United FC |
| 22/02/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Northern Tigers | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Hills United FC |
| 01/07/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Hills United FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Northern Tigers |
| 18/03/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Northern Tigers | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hills United FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 28 | 44 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 34 | 38 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 35 | 35 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 35 |
| 6 | Hills United FC | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 34 | 32 |
| 7 | Bulls FC Academy | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 33 | 28 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 28 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 41 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 26 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 37 | 24 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 43 | 22 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 37 | 22 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 21 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 38 | 17 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 43 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hills United FC | Northern Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Prospect United | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Macarthur Rams | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Bulls FC Academy | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Dulwich Hill | 6-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Rydalmere Lions FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Western City Rangers | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Canterbury Bankstown FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hills United FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hills United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Northern Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hills United FC vs Northern Tigers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Northern Tigers win (42%). Probabilities: Hills United FC 32%, draw 26%, Northern Tigers 42%.
How many goals are expected in Hills United FC vs Northern Tigers?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Hills United FC 1.25 · Northern Tigers 1.47), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hills United FC vs Northern Tigers?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.