Prediction: Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions
Expected goals: 2.26 (Macarthur Rams 1.4 · Inter Lions 0.86). The model gives 50% home, 27% draw, 24% away. Under 2.75 goals (58%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Macarthur Rams sits at 5-2-3 (W-D-L), while Inter Lions arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Macarthur Rams won 1 and Inter Lions 1, with 4 draws.
| Macarthur Rams | Draw | Inter Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macarthur Rams | Inter Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur Rams 1–4–1 Inter Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Inter Lions | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Macarthur Rams |
| 16/08/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Macarthur Rams | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Inter Lions |
| 03/05/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Inter Lions | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Macarthur Rams |
| 17/08/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Inter Lions | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Macarthur Rams |
| 11/05/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Macarthur Rams | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Inter Lions |
| 29/07/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Inter Lions | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Macarthur Rams |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 28 | 44 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 34 | 38 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 35 | 35 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 35 |
| 6 | Hills United FC | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 34 | 32 |
| 7 | Bulls FC Academy | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 33 | 28 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 28 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 41 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 26 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 37 | 24 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 43 | 22 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 37 | 22 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 21 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 38 | 17 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 43 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macarthur Rams | Inter Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Hakoah Sydney City East | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Newcastle Jets NPL | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Western City Rangers | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Canterbury Bankstown FC | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Northern Tigers | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Blacktown Spartans | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Dulwich Hill | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Macarthur Rams (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macarthur Rams
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Inter Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Macarthur Rams win (50%). Probabilities: Macarthur Rams 50%, draw 27%, Inter Lions 24%.
How many goals are expected in Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Macarthur Rams 1.4 · Inter Lions 0.86), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.