Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: MP vs Jippo

Team pages: MP · Jippo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

MP1.39

Jippo1.64

1X2

31% 26% 42%

MP Draw Jippo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MP 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLLLWD

Jippo 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

MP 2–1–3 Jippo (6 last)

Jippo3-1MP
MP1-3Jippo
Jippo1-2MP
MP1-3Jippo
Jippo2-4MP
Jippo0-0MP

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jippo (rating 1453 vs 1546).
H2H favours Jippo: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MP	Jippo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.6	3.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.86

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.42 → 5.52▲	Pinn 5.52
X	4.07 → 4.12▲	Pinn 4.12
2	1.52 → 1.54▲	Pinn 1.54

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:43 +27’	5.42	4.07	1.52
08:45 +24’	5.52▲	4.12▲	1.54▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MP 2–1–3 Jippo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/07/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	3-1 HT 0-0	MP
17/05/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	MP	1-3 HT 1-0	Jippo
14/04/26 Finland Cup	Jippo	1-2 HT 1-1	MP
14/02/26 Finland Ykkoscup	MP	1-3 HT 0-2	Jippo
10/08/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	2-4 HT 1-2	MP
19/06/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	0-0 HT 0-0	MP

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	23	17	3	3	41	21	54
2	PK-35	23	14	6	3	41	15	48
3	FC Haka	23	12	5	6	43	26	41
4	Jippo	23	11	7	5	32	20	40
5	JaPS	23	10	2	11	21	34	32
6	Ekenäs IF	23	8	4	11	28	35	28
7	MP	23	7	4	12	25	34	25
8	Klubi-04	23	4	8	11	28	34	20
9	KaPa	23	4	6	13	24	41	18
10	SJK II	23	2	7	14	14	37	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MP	Jippo
SJK II	1-1 D	0-1 L
FC Haka	2-0 W	0-3 L
PK-35	0-3 L	1-1 D
Klubi-04	3-4 L	3-1 W
Ekenäs IF	0-2 L	2-0 W
JaPS	0-1 L	1-0 W
KaPa	2-1 W	3-1 W
KTP	3-3 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Jippo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MP

DLDWLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
06/09	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
29/08	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-3	0-3	10	1	L
22/08	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	3-4	3-4	3	4	L
16/08	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
07/08	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
29/07	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
25/07	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	2-1	3-3	7	2	D
15/07	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
11/07	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D

Jippo

WWDWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	3-1	6	3	W
04/09	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
29/08	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/08	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	3-1	5	2	W
15/08	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	14	4	L
07/08	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	0-3	0-3	6	2	L
30/07	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
25/07	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/07	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	3-1	7	4	W
11/07	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	2-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MP vs Jippo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jippo win (42%). Probabilities: MP 31%, draw 26%, Jippo 42%.

How many goals are expected in MP vs Jippo?

The model expects 3.03 goals (MP 1.39 · Jippo 1.64), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MP vs Jippo?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.