Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 25/09, 17:30

Prediction: KTP vs MP

Team pages: KTP · MP

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
KTP2.06
MP0.81
1X2
65% 22% 13%
KTP Draw MP
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
KTP 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWWWWW
MP 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLLWDW
Head-to-head
KTP 4–2–0 MP (6 last)
  • MP3-3KTP
  • KTP1-0MP
  • KTP1-1MP
  • MP0-5KTP
  • MP1-2KTP
  • KTP4-0MP
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTP (rating 1604 vs 1472).
  • H2H favours KTP: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KTPMP
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.71.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.41.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.43.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · KTP 420 MP

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/07/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
MP3-3
HT 2-1
KTP
10/04/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
KTP1-0
HT 0-0
MP
25/02/26
Finland Ykkoscup
KTP1-1
HT 1-0
MP
06/10/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
MP0-5
HT 0-2
KTP
02/06/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
MP1-2
HT 0-1
KTP
13/04/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
KTP4-0
HT 0-0
MP

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 KTP 241833 442157
2 PK-35 241464 411848
3 FC Haka 241356 452644
4 Jippo 241176 322140
5 JaPS 2411211 223435
6 Ekenäs IF 248412 283628
7 MP 248412 263428
8 KaPa 245613 274321
9 Klubi-04 244812 283620
10 SJK II 242715 164013

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKTPMP
PK-35 3-0 W 0-3 L
JaPS 3-0 W 0-1 L
Jippo 2-0 W 1-0 W
FC Haka 2-1 W 2-0 W
Ekenäs IF 1-0 W 0-2 L
KaPa 2-1 W 2-1 W
Klubi-04 1-0 W 3-4 L
SJK II 2-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 8 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: KTP (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTP

LDWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 3-0 73 W
11/09 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 3-0 03 W
04/09 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-0 11 W
28/08 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-1 31 W
22/08 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-0 52 W
15/08 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-1 54 W
09/08 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 45 W
31/07 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 2-1 72 W
25/07 MP
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-2 3-3 122 D
18/07 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 107 L

MP

LDWLLLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 14 W
12/09 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 1-1 63 D
06/09 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-0 35 W
29/08 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-3 0-3 101 L
22/08 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
3-4 3-4 34 L
16/08 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-2 24 L
07/08 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-1 31 L
29/07 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
2-1 2-1 35 W
25/07 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
2-1 3-3 72 D
15/07 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-3 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTP vs MP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KTP win (65%). Probabilities: KTP 65%, draw 22%, MP 13%.

How many goals are expected in KTP vs MP?

The model expects 2.86 goals (KTP 2.06 · MP 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KTP vs MP?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.