Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 25/09, 18:00

Prediction: KaPa vs FC Haka

Team pages: KaPa · FC Haka

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
KaPa1.43
FC Haka1.83
1X2
29% 25% 46%
KaPa Draw FC Haka
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
KaPa 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLDDLW
FC Haka 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWLLDW
Head-to-head
KaPa 0–2–1 FC Haka (3 last)
  • FC Haka3-1KaPa
  • FC Haka2-2KaPa
  • KaPa1-1FC Haka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Haka (rating 1430 vs 1545).
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KaPaFC Haka
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.12.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.31.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/40/60%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.33.7 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · KaPa 021 FC Haka

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/07/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
FC Haka3-1
HT 2-1
KaPa
25/04/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
FC Haka2-2
HT 0-1
KaPa
14/02/26
Finland Ykkoscup
KaPa1-1
HT 0-0
FC Haka

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 KTP 241833 442157
2 PK-35 241464 411848
3 FC Haka 241356 452644
4 Jippo 241176 322140
5 JaPS 2411211 223435
6 Ekenäs IF 248412 283628
7 MP 248412 263428
8 KaPa 245613 274321
9 Klubi-04 244812 283620
10 SJK II 242715 164013

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKaPaFC Haka
SJK II 3-2 W 2-0 W
PK-35 1-4 L 4-1 W
Klubi-04 2-2 D 2-0 W
JaPS 0-0 D 2-1 W
Jippo 1-3 L 3-0 W
KTP 1-2 L 1-2 L
Ekenäs IF 0-1 L 2-2 D
MP 1-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 5 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Haka (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KaPa

LLLLLLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 3-2 33 W
11/09 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-3 1-4 53 L
07/09 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 2-2 05 D
28/08 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-0 93 D
20/08 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-3 22 L
15/08 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 1-2 34 L
08/08 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 33 L
29/07 MP
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-2 1-2 55 L
25/07 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-2 1-3 34 L
21/07 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-2 106 L

FC Haka

DWWWWWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-0 25 W
12/09 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 2-2 94 D
06/09 MP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-2 55 L
28/08 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 1-2 81 L
21/08 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-0 91 W
14/08 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-1 102 W
07/08 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
3-0 3-0 32 W
31/07 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
2-0 4-1 72 W
25/07 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
2-1 3-1 64 W
17/07 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-2 2-2 157 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KaPa vs FC Haka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Haka win (46%). Probabilities: KaPa 29%, draw 25%, FC Haka 46%.

How many goals are expected in KaPa vs FC Haka?

The model expects 3.26 goals (KaPa 1.43 · FC Haka 1.83), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KaPa vs FC Haka?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.