Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 17/07, 18:00

Prediction: KaPa vs SJK II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

KaPa1.57

SJK II0.74

1X2

56% 28% 16%

KaPa Draw SJK II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

KaPa 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWLLWL

SJK II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

KaPa 1–2–3 SJK II (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KaPa (rating 1463 vs 1394).
H2H favours SJK II: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KaPa	SJK II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	0.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · KaPa 1–2–3 SJK II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	KaPa	2-2 HT 2-0	SJK II
22/02/26 Finland Ykkoscup	SJK II	0-0 HT 0-0	KaPa
19/09/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	KaPa	3-1 HT 2-1	SJK II
18/06/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	SJK II	5-3 HT 2-1	KaPa
27/04/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	KaPa	0-3 HT 0-1	SJK II
12/04/25 Europe Friendlies	KaPa	2-4 HT 1-3	SJK II

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	14	10	2	2	25	14	32
2	PK-35	14	9	3	2	24	8	30
3	FC Haka	13	6	3	4	21	14	21
4	Jippo	13	5	6	2	17	10	21
5	JaPS	14	6	1	7	13	23	19
6	MP	13	5	1	7	12	15	16
7	Ekenäs IF	13	5	1	7	20	26	16
8	KaPa	13	4	3	6	15	20	15
9	Klubi-04	12	1	5	6	10	14	8
10	SJK II	13	1	3	9	4	17	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KaPa	SJK II
JaPS	3-1 W	0-1 L
Jippo	0-3 L	0-0 D
KTP	1-2 L	0-1 L
Ekenäs IF	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: KaPa (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KaPa

LLDDLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	1-3	4	1	L
28/06	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
13/06	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
05/06	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/05	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
23/05	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
17/05	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
13/05	MyPa Finland Cup	0-1	1-1	13	2	D
09/05	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
02/05	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-2	9	6	L

SJK II

LWLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
26/06	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-2	11	7	L
15/06	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
09/06	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
29/05	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
26/05	SJK Finland Cup	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
22/05	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
17/05	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
13/05	KPV Finland Cup	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
09/05	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KaPa vs SJK II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KaPa win (56%). Probabilities: KaPa 56%, draw 28%, SJK II 16%.

How many goals are expected in KaPa vs SJK II?

The model expects 2.31 goals (KaPa 1.57 · SJK II 0.74), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KaPa vs SJK II?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.