Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 25/07, 14:00

Prediction: FC Haka vs KaPa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
FC Haka2.07
KaPa0.97
1X2
62% 22% 16%
FC Haka Draw KaPa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Haka 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLLWD
KaPa 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLWLLWLDL
Head-to-head
FC Haka 0–2–0 KaPa (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Haka 1516 · KaPa 1449
FC HakaDrawKaPa
Our model62%22%16%
Market62%21%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Haka (rating 1516 vs 1449).
  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC HakaKaPa
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.41 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 6.93.2 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.13.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Haka 020 KaPa

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
FC Haka2-2
HT 0-1
KaPa
14/02/26
Finland Ykkoscup
KaPa1-1
HT 0-0
FC Haka

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PK-35 151032 25833
2 KTP 151023 251532
3 Jippo 15762 221127
4 FC Haka 15744 261725
5 JaPS 15717 142322
6 MP 15528 141917
7 KaPa 14446 172216
8 Ekenäs IF 15519 213016
9 Klubi-04 14167 12189
10 SJK II 15159 7208

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC HakaKaPa
Klubi-04 2-2 D 0-2 L
Ekenäs IF 3-1 W 0-1 L
KTP 0-2 L 1-2 L
SJK II 2-0 W 2-2 D
JaPS 1-2 L 3-1 W
Jippo 2-1 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Haka (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Haka

WLWLWWLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-2 2-2 157 D
11/07 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 3-1 81 W
05/07 MP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 1-2 103 L
27/06 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-2 43 L
15/06 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-0 105 W
08/06 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-0 09 W
05/06 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-2 1-2 98 L
29/05 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 2-1 54 W
26/05 VPS Vaasa
Finland Cup
0-1 0-4 54 L
22/05 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-0 32 W

KaPa

DDLWLLWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-2 106 L
17/07 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 2-2 82 D
10/07 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 1-3 41 L
28/06 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 3-1 75 W
13/06 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-3 55 L
05/06 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 1-2 45 L
29/05 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-1 44 W
23/05 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 64 L
17/05 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-0 64 D
13/05 MyPa
Finland Cup
0-1 1-1 132 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Haka vs KaPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Haka win (62%). Probabilities: FC Haka 62%, draw 22%, KaPa 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Haka vs KaPa?

The model expects 3.04 goals (FC Haka 2.07 · KaPa 0.97), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Haka vs KaPa?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.