Football · Sweden Elitettan · 25/07, 13:00

Prediction: Husqvarna FF (W) vs IFK Goteborg (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Husqvarna FF (W)1.13

IFK Goteborg (W)2.26

1X2

17% 21% 62%

Husqvarna FF (W) Draw IFK Goteborg (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Husqvarna FF (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDLWLLWD

IFK Goteborg (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWDWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Husqvarna FF (W) 1483 · IFK Goteborg (W) 1551

	Husqvarna FF (W)	Draw	IFK Goteborg (W)
Our model	17%	21%	62%
Market	17%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Goteborg (W) (rating 1483 vs 1551).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Husqvarna FF (W)	IFK Goteborg (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.4 / 2	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.20

X4.40

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.20 → 5.20	Bet365 5.20
X	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +4’	5.20	4.40	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Linköpings FC (W)	10	8	2	0	22	7	26
2	Elfsborg (W)	10	7	3	0	16	2	24
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	10	7	2	1	23	9	23
4	KIF Orebro (W)	10	7	1	2	24	13	22
5	Trelleborgs FF (W)	10	6	0	4	17	15	18
6	Enskede IK (W)	10	5	1	4	19	15	16
7	Umea IK (W)	10	4	2	4	17	13	14
8	Orebro SK (W)	10	4	2	4	10	13	14
9	Husqvarna FF (W)	10	3	3	4	13	17	12
10	Jitex BK (W)	10	2	3	5	10	15	9
11	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
12	Alingsås IF (W)	10	2	2	6	5	14	8
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	10	0	2	8	6	25	2
14	BK Hacken (W) II	10	0	0	10	7	24	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Husqvarna FF (W)	IFK Goteborg (W)
Elfsborg (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Sandvikens IF (W)	4-3 W	5-0 W
Trelleborgs FF (W)	0-3 L	3-1 W
BK Hacken (W) II	2-1 W	2-1 W
Enskede IK (W)	0-1 L	2-0 W
Jitex BK (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
Orebro SK (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Gamla Upsala SK (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
Alingsås IF (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	7 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Goteborg (W) (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Husqvarna FF (W)

WDLDLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/06	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
13/06	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
31/05	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
23/05	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
15/05	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	2	1	W
09/05	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
01/05	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
25/04	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
04/04	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
28/03	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

IFK Goteborg (W)

WDWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Kristianstads (W) Women’s Friendly	1-2	1-6	–	–	L
21/06	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	3-1	4	3	W
13/06	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	1	0	D
30/05	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
22/05	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
16/05	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	8	0	W
10/05	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
02/05	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	11	2	W
24/04	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
06/04	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-0	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Husqvarna FF (W) vs IFK Goteborg (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Goteborg (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Husqvarna FF (W) 17%, draw 21%, IFK Goteborg (W) 62%.

How many goals are expected in Husqvarna FF (W) vs IFK Goteborg (W)?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Husqvarna FF (W) 1.13 · IFK Goteborg (W) 2.26), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Husqvarna FF (W) vs IFK Goteborg (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.