Football · Sweden Elitettan · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Gamla Upsala SK (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Gamla Upsala SK (W)1.04

KIF Orebro (W)2.5

1X2

13% 18% 69%

Gamla Upsala SK (W) Draw KIF Orebro (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Gamla Upsala SK (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLDDW

KIF Orebro (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Gamla Upsala SK (W) 0–3 KIF Orebro (W) (3 last)

KIF Orebro (W)4-0Gamla Upsala SK (W)
Gamla Upsala SK (W)2-5KIF Orebro (W)
Gamla Upsala SK (W)0-4KIF Orebro (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gamla Upsala SK (W) 1452 · KIF Orebro (W) 1575

	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	Draw	KIF Orebro (W)
Our model	13%	19%	68%
Market	14%	17%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KIF Orebro (W) (rating 1452 vs 1575).
H2H favours KIF Orebro (W): 3-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	KIF Orebro (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.50

X5.25

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +4’	6.50	5.25	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gamla Upsala SK (W) 0–0–3 KIF Orebro (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/25 Sweden Elitettan	KIF Orebro (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Gamla Upsala SK (W)
12/04/25 Sweden Elitettan	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	2-5 HT 1-3	KIF Orebro (W)
18/02/17 Sweden Cup Women	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	0-4 HT 0-0	KIF Orebro (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Linköpings FC (W)	10	8	2	0	22	7	26
2	Elfsborg (W)	10	7	3	0	16	2	24
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	10	7	2	1	23	9	23
4	KIF Orebro (W)	10	7	1	2	24	13	22
5	Trelleborgs FF (W)	10	6	0	4	17	15	18
6	Enskede IK (W)	10	5	1	4	19	15	16
7	Umea IK (W)	10	4	2	4	17	13	14
8	Orebro SK (W)	10	4	2	4	10	13	14
9	Husqvarna FF (W)	10	3	3	4	13	17	12
10	Jitex BK (W)	10	2	3	5	10	15	9
11	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
12	Alingsås IF (W)	10	2	2	6	5	14	8
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	10	0	2	8	6	25	2
14	BK Hacken (W) II	10	0	0	10	7	24	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	KIF Orebro (W)
BK Hacken (W) II	2-1 W	3-0 W
Alingsås IF (W)	0-0 D	2-0 W
Orebro SK (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
Enskede IK (W)	1-4 L	4-3 W
Linköpings FC (W)	0-2 L	2-3 L
Umea IK (W)	2-3 L	2-2 D
Elfsborg (W)	0-2 L	0-3 L
Sandvikens IF (W)	2-1 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KIF Orebro (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gamla Upsala SK (W)

WDLLLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/06	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	0	1	D
29/05	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
23/05	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-4	8	1	L
16/05	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
02/05	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
26/04	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
04/04	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
28/03	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-1	2-1	4	2	W

KIF Orebro (W)

LDWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/06	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
14/06	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
30/05	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
16/05	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	4-3	8	2	W
08/05	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-3	2-3	4	4	L
03/05	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	8	0	W
25/04	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	5-1	2	3	W
06/04	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-2	6	1	D
28/03	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gamla Upsala SK (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KIF Orebro (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Gamla Upsala SK (W) 13%, draw 18%, KIF Orebro (W) 69%.

How many goals are expected in Gamla Upsala SK (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Gamla Upsala SK (W) 1.04 · KIF Orebro (W) 2.5), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gamla Upsala SK (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.