Football · Sweden Elitettan · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF (W) vs Linköpings FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Trelleborgs FF (W)1.27

Linköpings FC (W)1.81

1X2

26% 24% 50%

Trelleborgs FF (W) Draw Linköpings FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWWLL

Linköpings FC (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF (W) 0–2 Linköpings FC (W) (2 last)

Linköpings FC (W)4-0Trelleborgs FF (W)
Trelleborgs FF (W)0-3Linköpings FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF (W) 1511 · Linköpings FC (W) 1596

	Trelleborgs FF (W)	Draw	Linköpings FC (W)
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linköpings FC (W) (rating 1511 vs 1596).
H2H favours Linköpings FC (W): 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF (W)	Linköpings FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	3.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +2’	3.40	3.80	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF (W) 0–0–2 Linköpings FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Linköpings FC (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Trelleborgs FF (W)
08/06/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Trelleborgs FF (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Linköpings FC (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Linköpings FC (W)	10	8	2	0	22	7	26
2	Elfsborg (W)	10	7	3	0	16	2	24
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	10	7	2	1	23	9	23
4	KIF Orebro (W)	10	7	1	2	24	13	22
5	Trelleborgs FF (W)	10	6	0	4	17	15	18
6	Enskede IK (W)	10	5	1	4	19	15	16
7	Umea IK (W)	10	4	2	4	17	13	14
8	Orebro SK (W)	10	4	2	4	10	13	14
9	Husqvarna FF (W)	10	3	3	4	13	17	12
10	Jitex BK (W)	10	2	3	5	10	15	9
11	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
12	Alingsås IF (W)	10	2	2	6	5	14	8
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	10	0	2	8	6	25	2
14	BK Hacken (W) II	10	0	0	10	7	24	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF (W)	Linköpings FC (W)
IFK Goteborg (W)	1-3 L	3-2 W
Umea IK (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Husqvarna FF (W)	3-0 W	3-1 W
Jitex BK (W)	1-4 L	1-1 D
Alingsås IF (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
KIF Orebro (W)	1-2 L	3-2 W
Sandvikens IF (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Linköpings FC (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Trelleborgs FF (W)

WLLWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Vittsjö GIK (W) Women’s Friendly	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
21/06	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-3	1-3	3	3	L
14/06	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
16/05	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-4	5	4	L
09/05	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
26/04	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
04/04	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	5	2	W

Linköpings FC (W)

WWDDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/06	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
14/06	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
23/05	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/05	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-1	3-2	2	4	W
02/05	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
25/04	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
04/04	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
28/03	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs Linköpings FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Linköpings FC (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF (W) 26%, draw 24%, Linköpings FC (W) 50%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs Linköpings FC (W)?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Trelleborgs FF (W) 1.27 · Linköpings FC (W) 1.81), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs Linköpings FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.