Football · Sweden Elitettan · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF (W) vs Jitex BK (W)

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF (W) · Jitex BK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Trelleborgs FF (W)1.75

Jitex BK (W)1.42

1X2

45% 25% 31%

Trelleborgs FF (W) Draw Jitex BK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWWLLLWD

Jitex BK (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDWLDWL

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF (W) 4–1 Jitex BK (W) (5 last)

Jitex BK (W)4-1Trelleborgs FF (W)
Trelleborgs FF (W)4-1Jitex BK (W)
Jitex BK (W)1-2Trelleborgs FF (W)
Jitex BK (W)0-2Trelleborgs FF (W)
Trelleborgs FF (W)3-1Jitex BK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF (W) 1465 · Jitex BK (W) 1495

	Trelleborgs FF (W)	Draw	Jitex BK (W)
Our model	44%	25%	30%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Trelleborgs FF (W): 4-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF (W)	Jitex BK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	1.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.78
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.52 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:46 +17’	2.00	3.70	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +1’	1.75	3.78	3.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF (W) 4–0–1 Jitex BK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Sweden Elitettan	Jitex BK (W)	4-1 HT 0-0	Trelleborgs FF (W)
27/09/25 Sweden Elitettan	Trelleborgs FF (W)	4-1 HT 0-0	Jitex BK (W)
24/05/25 Sweden Elitettan	Jitex BK (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Trelleborgs FF (W)
09/07/23 Sweden Elitettan	Jitex BK (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Trelleborgs FF (W)
11/06/23 Sweden Elitettan	Trelleborgs FF (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Jitex BK (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	25	17	7	1	48	13	58
2	IFK Goteborg (W)	25	17	6	2	66	27	57
3	KIF Orebro (W)	25	18	2	5	63	29	56
4	Umea IK (W)	25	14	5	6	45	24	47
5	Linköpings FC (W)	25	13	4	8	41	37	43
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	25	10	6	9	33	38	36
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	25	9	7	9	33	35	34
8	Jitex BK (W)	25	8	7	10	35	39	31
9	Enskede IK (W)	25	8	5	12	34	43	29
10	Orebro SK (W)	25	7	6	12	27	43	27
11	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	25	6	5	14	29	41	23
12	Alingsås IF (W)	25	5	8	12	20	32	23
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	25	3	5	17	25	67	14
14	BK Hacken (W) II	25	2	3	20	24	55	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF (W)	Jitex BK (W)
Orebro SK (W)	0-0 D	4-1 W
Linköpings FC (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Enskede IK (W)	1-3 L	2-2 D
Elfsborg (W)	2-4 L	0-1 L
BK Hacken (W) II	2-0 W	2-2 D
Sandvikens IF (W)	0-0 D	5-1 W
KIF Orebro (W)	2-2 D	2-7 L
Husqvarna FF (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jitex BK (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trelleborgs FF (W)

LDDWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
31/10	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/10	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
18/10	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-2	1-3	10	1	L
03/10	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-2	2-4	1	1	L
26/09	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
19/09	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	4	0	W
13/09	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
05/09	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Jitex BK (W)

DLDWDWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
01/11	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-1	5-1	–	–	W
24/10	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
17/10	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-4	2-7	–	–	L
02/10	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
26/09	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
20/09	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
12/09	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
05/09	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
30/08	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-2	5	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs Jitex BK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF (W) 45%, draw 25%, Jitex BK (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs Jitex BK (W)?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Trelleborgs FF (W) 1.75 · Jitex BK (W) 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF (W) vs Jitex BK (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.