Football · Sweden Elitettan · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Elfsborg (W) vs Husqvarna FF (W)

Team pages: Elfsborg (W) · Husqvarna FF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Elfsborg (W)2.34

Husqvarna FF (W)0.42

1X2

81% 14% 5%

Elfsborg (W) Draw Husqvarna FF (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Elfsborg (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWWWDW

Husqvarna FF (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWDDD

Head-to-head

Elfsborg (W) 1–1–0 Husqvarna FF (W) (2 last)

Husqvarna FF (W)1-1Elfsborg (W)
Husqvarna FF (W)1-2Elfsborg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elfsborg (W) 1600 · Husqvarna FF (W) 1487

	Elfsborg (W)	Draw	Husqvarna FF (W)
Our model	80%	16%	4%
Market	82%	12%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elfsborg (W) (rating 1600 vs 1487).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Elfsborg (W)	Husqvarna FF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.8	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.8 / 8.4	0.3 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.1	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.13

X7.50

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.80

2 (+2.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:34 +29’	1.13	7.50	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Elfsborg (W) 1–1–0 Husqvarna FF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden Elitettan	Husqvarna FF (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Elfsborg (W)
23/07/25 Sweden Cup Women	Husqvarna FF (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Elfsborg (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	25	17	7	1	48	13	58
2	IFK Goteborg (W)	25	17	6	2	66	27	57
3	KIF Orebro (W)	25	18	2	5	63	29	56
4	Umea IK (W)	25	14	5	6	45	24	47
5	Linköpings FC (W)	25	13	4	8	41	37	43
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	25	10	6	9	33	38	36
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	25	9	7	9	33	35	34
8	Jitex BK (W)	25	8	7	10	35	39	31
9	Enskede IK (W)	25	8	5	12	34	43	29
10	Orebro SK (W)	25	7	6	12	27	43	27
11	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	25	6	5	14	29	41	23
12	Alingsås IF (W)	25	5	8	12	20	32	23
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	25	3	5	17	25	67	14
14	BK Hacken (W) II	25	2	3	20	24	55	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Elfsborg (W)	Husqvarna FF (W)
Jitex BK (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Gamla Upsala SK (W)	2-0 W	1-0 W
Trelleborgs FF (W)	4-2 W	1-0 W
IFK Goteborg (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sandvikens IF (W)	1-0 W	3-1 W
Linköpings FC (W)	3-2 W	1-2 L
Umea IK (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
BK Hacken (W) II	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Elfsborg (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elfsborg (W)

WDWWDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	12	0	W
30/10	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
24/10	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-1	4-1	7	0	W
17/10	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
03/10	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-1	4-2	8	1	W
26/09	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
19/09	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
12/09	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
06/09	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	14	1	W

Husqvarna FF (W)

WLWLWLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
24/10	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
17/10	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/10	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/09	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-2	0	0	L
12/09	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	3	0	L
29/08	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elfsborg (W) vs Husqvarna FF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Elfsborg (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Elfsborg (W) 81%, draw 14%, Husqvarna FF (W) 5%.

How many goals are expected in Elfsborg (W) vs Husqvarna FF (W)?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Elfsborg (W) 2.34 · Husqvarna FF (W) 0.42), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Elfsborg (W) vs Husqvarna FF (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.