Football · Sweden Elitettan · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Goteborg (W) vs Umea IK (W)

Team pages: IFK Goteborg (W) · Umea IK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

IFK Goteborg (W)2.03

Umea IK (W)0.94

1X2

62% 22% 16%

IFK Goteborg (W) Draw Umea IK (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Goteborg (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWWWWW

Umea IK (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

IFK Goteborg (W) 0–1–0 Umea IK (W) (1 last)

Umea IK (W)1-1IFK Goteborg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Goteborg (W) 1565 · Umea IK (W) 1594

	IFK Goteborg (W)	Draw	Umea IK (W)
Our model	61%	23%	16%
Market	63%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Goteborg (W)	Umea IK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	2.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.9	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.33

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +10’	1.42	4.33	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Goteborg (W) 0–1–0 Umea IK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Sweden Elitettan	Umea IK (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	IFK Goteborg (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	25	17	7	1	48	13	58
2	IFK Goteborg (W)	25	17	6	2	66	27	57
3	KIF Orebro (W)	25	18	2	5	63	29	56
4	Umea IK (W)	25	14	5	6	45	24	47
5	Linköpings FC (W)	25	13	4	8	41	37	43
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	25	10	6	9	33	38	36
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	25	9	7	9	33	35	34
8	Jitex BK (W)	25	8	7	10	35	39	31
9	Enskede IK (W)	25	8	5	12	34	43	29
10	Orebro SK (W)	25	7	6	12	27	43	27
11	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	25	6	5	14	29	41	23
12	Alingsås IF (W)	25	5	8	12	20	32	23
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	25	3	5	17	25	67	14
14	BK Hacken (W) II	25	2	3	20	24	55	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Goteborg (W)	Umea IK (W)
BK Hacken (W) II	4-1 W	2-0 W
Enskede IK (W)	2-0 W	5-1 W
Orebro SK (W)	4-0 W	3-0 W
Alingsås IF (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Elfsborg (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
KIF Orebro (W)	1-5 L	1-2 L
Husqvarna FF (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Linköpings FC (W)	4-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Goteborg (W)

WWDLDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	4-2	8	0	W
31/10	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
24/10	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	12	1	W
18/10	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
04/10	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	11	2	W
26/09	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
19/09	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-4	1-5	6	1	L
12/09	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
05/09	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	9	0	W
29/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	4-1	–	–	W

Umea IK (W)

LDWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/11	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
24/10	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	4-0	2	1	W
17/10	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
04/10	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Umea IK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Goteborg (W) win (62%). Probabilities: IFK Goteborg (W) 62%, draw 22%, Umea IK (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Umea IK (W)?

The model expects 2.97 goals (IFK Goteborg (W) 2.03 · Umea IK (W) 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Goteborg (W) vs Umea IK (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.