Prediction: Deportivo Moron vs Deportivo Madryn
Expected goals: 2.21 (Deportivo Moron 1.31 · Deportivo Madryn 0.9). The model gives 44% home, 32% draw, 24% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Deportivo Moron sits at 5-2-3 (W-D-L), while Deportivo Madryn arrives on a 4-4-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Deportivo Moron and 1 for Deportivo Madryn, with 3 draws.
| Deportivo Moron | Draw | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 32% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Moron: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Moron | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.6 | 4.9 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moron 2–3–1 Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 16/11/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 09/11/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 03/08/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 17/03/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 10/08/22 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Colon | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Madryn | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 28 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| 13 | CA San Telmo | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 20 |
| 14 | All Boys | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 20 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 18 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 25 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Moron | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|
| Defensores de Belgrano | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Los Andes | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Racing de Cordoba | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Madryn (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 13/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 19/05 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 26/04 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 13 | W |
| 14/06 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moron vs Deportivo Madryn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moron win (44%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moron 44%, draw 32%, Deportivo Madryn 24%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moron vs Deportivo Madryn?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Deportivo Moron 1.31 · Deportivo Madryn 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs Deportivo Madryn?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.