Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Atlanta
Team pages: Ferro Carril Oeste · CA Atlanta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Ferro Carril Oeste1.44
CA Atlanta0.87
1X2
Ferro Carril Oeste
Draw
CA Atlanta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ferro Carril Oeste
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
CA Atlanta
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferro Carril Oeste
3–1–2
CA Atlanta
(6 last)
- CA Atlanta0-1Ferro Carril Oeste
- CA Atlanta2-1Ferro Carril Oeste
- Ferro Carril Oeste0-1CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta1-1Ferro Carril Oeste
- Ferro Carril Oeste2-0CA Atlanta
- Ferro Carril Oeste1-0CA Atlanta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferro Carril Oeste 1560 · CA Atlanta 1504
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Draw | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste (rating 1560 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Ferro Carril Oeste: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferro Carril Oeste | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/90/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferro Carril Oeste 3–1–2 CA Atlanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 23/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 23/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 24/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 14/05/23 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 15/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Atlanta |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Atlanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferro Carril Oeste win (49%). Probabilities: Ferro Carril Oeste 49%, draw 30%, CA Atlanta 21%.
How many goals are expected in Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Atlanta?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Ferro Carril Oeste 1.44 · CA Atlanta 0.87), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Atlanta?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.