Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: Club Atletico Mitre vs CA Guemes
Team pages: Club Atletico Mitre · CA Guemes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Club Atletico Mitre1.71
CA Guemes0.86
1X2
Club Atletico Mitre
Draw
CA Guemes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Atletico Mitre
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
CA Guemes
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Atletico Mitre
1–3–1
CA Guemes
(5 last)
- CA Guemes2-2Club Atletico Mitre
- CA Guemes0-0Club Atletico Mitre
- Club Atletico Mitre2-0CA Guemes
- CA Guemes1-1Club Atletico Mitre
- CA Guemes6-1Club Atletico Mitre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Atletico Mitre 1480 · CA Guemes 1419
| Club Atletico Mitre | Draw | CA Guemes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 55% | 29% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Atletico Mitre (rating 1480 vs 1419).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Atletico Mitre | CA Guemes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atletico Mitre 1–3–1 CA Guemes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 24/08/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 07/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
| 28/07/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 15/07/19 Argentina Copa Santiago | CA Guemes | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Atletico Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
CA Guemes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Atletico Mitre vs CA Guemes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atletico Mitre win (55%). Probabilities: Club Atletico Mitre 55%, draw 28%, CA Guemes 17%.
How many goals are expected in Club Atletico Mitre vs CA Guemes?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Club Atletico Mitre 1.71 · CA Guemes 0.86), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Atletico Mitre vs CA Guemes?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.