Football · Argentina Nacional B · 02/08, 20:30
Prediction: Deportivo Maipu vs CA Atlanta
Team pages: Deportivo Maipu · CA Atlanta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Deportivo Maipu1.11
CA Atlanta1.13
1X2
Deportivo Maipu
Draw
CA Atlanta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Maipu
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
CA Atlanta
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Maipu
3–1–2
CA Atlanta
(6 last)
- CA Atlanta3-1Deportivo Maipu
- CA Atlanta0-3Deportivo Maipu
- Deportivo Maipu0-1CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta1-3Deportivo Maipu
- Deportivo Maipu1-0CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta0-0Deportivo Maipu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Maipu 1502 · CA Atlanta 1534
| Deportivo Maipu | Draw | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Maipu: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Maipu | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maipu 3–1–2 CA Atlanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 04/10/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 01/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 18/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 12/03/23 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 21/05/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 41 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | CA Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 33 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 28 |
| 10 | San Martin SJ | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | CA Colegiales | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 20 | 26 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 26 |
| 13 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 24 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 23 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 22 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 36 | 19 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Maipu | CA Atlanta |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Agropecuario | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Tristan Suarez | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Atlanta (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maipu vs CA Atlanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Atlanta win (34%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maipu 33%, draw 32%, CA Atlanta 34%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maipu vs CA Atlanta?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Deportivo Maipu 1.11 · CA Atlanta 1.13), with a 57% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Maipu vs CA Atlanta?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.