Football · Argentina Nacional B · 08/08, 22:00

Prediction: Agropecuario vs CA Guemes

Team pages: Agropecuario · CA Guemes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Agropecuario1.29

CA Guemes0.8

1X2

47% 31% 22%

Agropecuario Draw CA Guemes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Agropecuario 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLLLDDWL

CA Guemes 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Agropecuario 4–2–0 CA Guemes (6 last)

CA Guemes1-1Agropecuario
Agropecuario3-1CA Guemes
CA Guemes1-1Agropecuario
Agropecuario1-0CA Guemes
CA Guemes0-1Agropecuario
Agropecuario2-0CA Guemes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Agropecuario 1459 · CA Guemes 1438

	Agropecuario	Draw	CA Guemes
Our model	47%	31%	22%
Market	48%	30%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Agropecuario: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Agropecuario	CA Guemes
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.10

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:34 +1’	1.95	3.10	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Agropecuario 4–2–0 CA Guemes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Argentina Nacional B	CA Guemes	1-1 HT 1-0	Agropecuario
14/07/24 Argentina Nacional B	Agropecuario	3-1 HT 1-1	CA Guemes
25/02/24 Argentina Nacional B	CA Guemes	1-1 HT 0-0	Agropecuario
10/06/23 Argentina Nacional B	Agropecuario	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Guemes
05/02/23 Argentina Nacional B	CA Guemes	0-1 HT 0-0	Agropecuario
17/08/22 Argentina Nacional B	Agropecuario	2-0 HT 0-0	CA Guemes

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	22	12	5	5	35	25	41
2	Club Atletico Temperley	23	9	10	4	24	20	37
3	Tristan Suarez	21	9	9	3	18	11	36
4	CA Atlanta	22	11	3	8	28	22	36
5	Ferrocarril Midland	22	9	7	6	23	16	34
6	Deportivo Maipu	23	9	5	9	31	24	32
7	Gimnasia y Tiro	22	8	7	7	22	22	31
8	Atletico Rafaela	23	8	7	8	17	19	31
9	San Martin de Tucuman	23	7	9	7	21	19	30
10	CA Colegiales	22	8	5	9	21	21	29
11	Nueva Chicago	22	7	8	7	20	20	29
12	Almagro	22	8	5	9	20	24	29
13	San Martin SJ	21	7	6	8	22	22	27
14	Chacarita Juniors	22	7	5	10	18	23	26
15	Quilmes	22	6	7	9	21	20	25
16	Patronato Parana	22	4	11	7	16	21	23
17	Agropecuario	23	5	8	10	18	28	23
18	CA Guemes	21	5	4	12	19	36	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Agropecuario	CA Guemes
San Martin SJ	2-1 W	0-2 L
Nueva Chicago	1-1 D	0-2 L
Club Atletico Temperley	0-0 D	1-4 L
Deportivo Maipu	0-2 L	1-0 W
Almagro	1-2 L	0-2 L
Patronato Parana	1-1 D	1-0 W
CA Colegiales	0-0 D	1-4 L
Quilmes	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Agropecuario (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Agropecuario

DDDLLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/07	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
17/07	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/07	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/07	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
20/06	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	3	8	L
13/06	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
07/06	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
30/05	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
24/05	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	6	D

CA Guemes

WLWLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
12/07	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
04/07	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
21/06	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-3	6	0	L
14/06	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-4	0	6	L
07/06	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
31/05	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	1	7	L
24/05	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
16/05	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-4	4	6	L
10/05	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Agropecuario vs CA Guemes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Agropecuario win (47%). Probabilities: Agropecuario 47%, draw 31%, CA Guemes 22%.

How many goals are expected in Agropecuario vs CA Guemes?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Agropecuario 1.29 · CA Guemes 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Agropecuario vs CA Guemes?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.