Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro
Team pages: Central Norte · Gimnasia y Tiro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.8Total
Central Norte0.82
Gimnasia y Tiro0.98
1X2
Central Norte
Draw
Gimnasia y Tiro
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Central Norte
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia y Tiro
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Norte
2–4–0
Gimnasia y Tiro
(6 last)
- Gimnasia y Tiro0-1Central Norte
- Central Norte2-2Gimnasia y Tiro
- Gimnasia y Tiro0-0Central Norte
- Central Norte2-0Gimnasia y Tiro
- Gimnasia y Tiro1-1Central Norte
- Central Norte0-0Gimnasia y Tiro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Norte 1505 · Gimnasia y Tiro 1563
| Central Norte | Draw | Gimnasia y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 35% | 37% |
| Market | 29% | 34% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.8 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia y Tiro (rating 1505 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Central Norte: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Norte | Gimnasia y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Norte 2–4–0 Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Central Norte |
| 24/01/26 America Friendlies | Central Norte | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 01/02/25 America Friendlies | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Norte |
| 01/10/23 Argentina Torneo A | Central Norte | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 02/08/23 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Central Norte |
| 11/06/23 Argentina Torneo A | Central Norte | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Norte
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimnasia y Tiro win (37%). Probabilities: Central Norte 28%, draw 35%, Gimnasia y Tiro 37%.
How many goals are expected in Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
The model expects 1.8 goals (Central Norte 0.82 · Gimnasia y Tiro 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.