Football · Argentina Nacional B · 08/08, 22:00

Prediction: Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu

Team pages: Ferrocarril Midland · Deportivo Maipu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Ferrocarril Midland1.37

Deportivo Maipu0.8

1X2

49% 31% 21%

Ferrocarril Midland Draw Deportivo Maipu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Ferrocarril Midland 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDDWWD

Deportivo Maipu 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWWDLW

Head-to-head

Ferrocarril Midland 1–0 Deportivo Maipu (1 last)

Deportivo Maipu0-1Ferrocarril Midland

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferrocarril Midland 1534 · Deportivo Maipu 1503

	Ferrocarril Midland	Draw	Deportivo Maipu
Our model	49%	30%	21%
Market	49%	31%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferrocarril Midland	Deportivo Maipu
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90
X	2.88 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
2	3.40 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:34	2.25	2.88	3.40
07:16 +5’	1.90▼	3.00▲	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferrocarril Midland 1–0–0 Deportivo Maipu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	0-1 HT 0-1	Ferrocarril Midland

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	22	12	5	5	35	25	41
2	Club Atletico Temperley	23	9	10	4	24	20	37
3	Tristan Suarez	21	9	9	3	18	11	36
4	CA Atlanta	22	11	3	8	28	22	36
5	Ferrocarril Midland	22	9	7	6	23	16	34
6	Deportivo Maipu	23	9	5	9	31	24	32
7	Gimnasia y Tiro	22	8	7	7	22	22	31
8	Atletico Rafaela	23	8	7	8	17	19	31
9	San Martin de Tucuman	23	7	9	7	21	19	30
10	CA Colegiales	22	8	5	9	21	21	29
11	Nueva Chicago	22	7	8	7	20	20	29
12	Almagro	22	8	5	9	20	24	29
13	San Martin SJ	21	7	6	8	22	22	27
14	Chacarita Juniors	22	7	5	10	18	23	26
15	Quilmes	22	6	7	9	21	20	25
16	Patronato Parana	22	4	11	7	16	21	23
17	Agropecuario	23	5	8	10	18	28	23
18	CA Guemes	21	5	4	12	19	36	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferrocarril Midland	Deportivo Maipu
CA Atlanta	1-2 L	4-2 W
Gimnasia y Tiro	0-1 L	0-1 L
San Martin de Tucuman	2-0 W	0-0 D
Atletico Rafaela	0-1 L	3-1 W
Agropecuario	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maipu (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferrocarril Midland

WLWLLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	5	9	D
26/07	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
12/07	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
05/07	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	9	8	D
21/06	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	2	9	D
13/06	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
06/06	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
31/05	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
23/05	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
17/05	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	8	4	W

Deportivo Maipu

LWLLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	2-2	4-2	6	5	W
26/07	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
17/07	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
11/07	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
05/07	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/06	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
14/06	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
07/06	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
31/05	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-0	3-2	10	6	W
23/05	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferrocarril Midland win (49%). Probabilities: Ferrocarril Midland 49%, draw 31%, Deportivo Maipu 21%.

How many goals are expected in Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Ferrocarril Midland 1.37 · Deportivo Maipu 0.8), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.