Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales
Team pages: CA San Miguel · CA Colegiales
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.66Total
CA San Miguel0.88
CA Colegiales0.78
1X2
CA San Miguel
Draw
CA Colegiales
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA San Miguel
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
CA Colegiales
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA San Miguel
2–3–1
CA Colegiales
(6 last)
- CA Colegiales0-0CA San Miguel
- CA San Miguel2-1CA Colegiales
- CA Colegiales0-0CA San Miguel
- CA San Miguel2-2CA Colegiales
- CA Colegiales0-2CA San Miguel
- CA Colegiales2-1CA San Miguel
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA San Miguel 1488 · CA Colegiales 1522
| CA San Miguel | Draw | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 37% | 29% |
| Market | 36% | 34% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.66 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA San Miguel: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA San Miguel | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Miguel 2–3–1 CA Colegiales
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA San Miguel |
| 02/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Miguel | 2-1 HT 2-1 | CA Colegiales |
| 30/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA San Miguel |
| 23/09/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA San Miguel | 2-2 HT 1-1 | CA Colegiales |
| 21/05/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CA San Miguel |
| 14/08/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CA San Miguel |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA San Miguel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
CA Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: CA San Miguel 35%, draw 36%, CA Colegiales 29%.
How many goals are expected in CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales?
The model expects 1.66 goals (CA San Miguel 0.88 · CA Colegiales 0.78), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA San Miguel vs CA Colegiales?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.