Football · Argentina Nacional B · 01/08, 20:00
Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes Caseros
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.64Total
Defensores de Belgrano0.82
CA Estudiantes Caseros0.82
1X2
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Belgrano
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
CA Estudiantes Caseros
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Belgrano
4–2
CA Estudiantes Caseros
(6 last)
- CA Estudiantes Caseros0-2Defensores de Belgrano
- CA Estudiantes Caseros2-0Defensores de Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano2-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
- Defensores de Belgrano1-0CA Estudiantes Caseros
- Defensores de Belgrano1-0CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros1-0Defensores de Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano 1466 · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1516
| Defensores de Belgrano | Draw | CA Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 37% | 31% |
| Market | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.64 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Estudiantes Caseros (rating 1466 vs 1516).
- H2H favours Defensores de Belgrano: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Belgrano | CA Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano 4–0–2 CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 10/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 05/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 2-1 HT 2-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 23/07/22 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 14/04/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 26/11/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Colon | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 31 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 31 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Racing de Cordoba | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 23 |
| 13 | All Boys | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Mitre | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 27 | 21 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 19 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Belgrano | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
|---|---|---|
| All Boys | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Godoy Cruz | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Moron | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Colon | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Estudiantes Caseros (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 13/06 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano 32%, draw 36%, CA Estudiantes Caseros 32%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
The model expects 1.64 goals (Defensores de Belgrano 0.82 · CA Estudiantes Caseros 0.82), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.