Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Moron vs Almagro
Team pages: Deportivo Moron · Almagro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Deportivo Moron1.62
Almagro0.78
1X2
Deportivo Moron
Draw
Almagro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Moron
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Almagro
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Moron
2–1–3
Almagro
(6 last)
- Almagro2-0Deportivo Moron
- Deportivo Moron0-0Almagro
- Almagro2-1Deportivo Moron
- Almagro0-1Deportivo Moron
- Deportivo Moron0-1Almagro
- Deportivo Moron3-0Almagro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Moron 1533 · Almagro 1518
| Deportivo Moron | Draw | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 55% | 29% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Almagro: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Moron | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.7 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moron 2–1–3 Almagro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
| 10/02/24 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 10/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 04/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Almagro |
| 06/08/22 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Almagro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Moron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 02/08 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 13/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
Almagro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 05/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 28/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moron win (56%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moron 56%, draw 28%, Almagro 16%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Deportivo Moron 1.62 · Almagro 0.78), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.