Football · Argentina Nacional B · 02/08, 20:30
Prediction: Patronato Parana vs Quilmes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.78Total
Patronato Parana1.05
Quilmes0.73
1X2
Patronato Parana
Draw
Quilmes
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Patronato Parana
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Quilmes
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patronato Parana
2–3–1
Quilmes
(6 last)
- Quilmes3-0Patronato Parana
- Patronato Parana1-0Quilmes
- Quilmes1-1Patronato Parana
- Patronato Parana1-1Quilmes
- Quilmes2-2Patronato Parana
- Quilmes0-1Patronato Parana
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Patronato Parana: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patronato Parana | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patronato Parana 2–3–1 Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Patronato Parana |
| 14/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Quilmes |
| 10/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Patronato Parana |
| 09/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Quilmes |
| 23/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Patronato Parana |
| 06/06/17 Argentina Superliga | Quilmes | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Patronato Parana |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | CA Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 26 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | CA Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 20 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patronato Parana | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrocarril Midland | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Rafaela | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Agropecuario | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Tristan Suarez | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Guemes | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Quilmes (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patronato Parana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 21/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 14/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patronato Parana vs Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Patronato Parana win (41%). Probabilities: Patronato Parana 41%, draw 35%, Quilmes 24%.
How many goals are expected in Patronato Parana vs Quilmes?
The model expects 1.78 goals (Patronato Parana 1.05 · Quilmes 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Patronato Parana vs Quilmes?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.