Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: Colon vs Patronato Parana
Team pages: Colon · Patronato Parana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Colon1.48
Patronato Parana0.71
1X2
Colon
Draw
Patronato Parana
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Colon
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Patronato Parana
0-7-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colon
3–1–2
Patronato Parana
(6 last)
- Patronato Parana0-2Colon
- Patronato Parana1-0Colon
- Colon4-0Patronato Parana
- Colon1-0Patronato Parana
- Patronato Parana1-1Colon
- Patronato Parana2-0Colon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colon 1529 · Patronato Parana 1452
| Colon | Draw | Patronato Parana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colon (rating 1529 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Colon: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colon | Patronato Parana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon 3–1–2 Patronato Parana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Colon |
| 14/07/24 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Colon |
| 26/02/24 Argentina Nacional B | Colon | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Patronato Parana |
| 05/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Colon | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Patronato Parana |
| 22/06/22 Argentina Cup | Patronato Parana | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Colon |
| 01/11/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | Patronato Parana | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Colon |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 12/07 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
Patronato Parana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
3-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 26/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 21/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 14/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colon vs Patronato Parana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colon win (54%). Probabilities: Colon 54%, draw 29%, Patronato Parana 17%.
How many goals are expected in Colon vs Patronato Parana?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Colon 1.48 · Patronato Parana 0.71), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Colon vs Patronato Parana?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.