Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: Quilmes vs CA San Telmo
Team pages: Quilmes · CA San Telmo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Quilmes1.48
CA San Telmo0.67
1X2
Quilmes
Draw
CA San Telmo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Quilmes
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CA San Telmo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Quilmes
1–1
CA San Telmo
(2 last)
- CA San Telmo0-3Quilmes
- CA San Telmo3-2Quilmes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quilmes 1509 · CA San Telmo 1441
| Quilmes | Draw | CA San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 56% | 28% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quilmes (rating 1509 vs 1441).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Quilmes | CA San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.7 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quilmes 1–0–1 CA San Telmo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Quilmes |
| 19/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 27/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
CA San Telmo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quilmes vs CA San Telmo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Quilmes win (56%). Probabilities: Quilmes 56%, draw 28%, CA San Telmo 16%.
How many goals are expected in Quilmes vs CA San Telmo?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Quilmes 1.48 · CA San Telmo 0.67), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Quilmes vs CA San Telmo?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.