Football · Sweden Superettan · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Helsingborg vs Falkenbergs FF

Team pages: Helsingborg · Falkenbergs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Helsingborg1.48

Falkenbergs FF1.41

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Helsingborg Draw Falkenbergs FF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Helsingborg 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLDLDD

Falkenbergs FF 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDWWLW

Head-to-head

Helsingborg 4–2–0 Falkenbergs FF (6 last)

Falkenbergs FF2-3Helsingborg
Helsingborg0-0Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF2-2Helsingborg
Helsingborg2-1Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF1-4Helsingborg
Helsingborg4-0Falkenbergs FF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Falkenbergs FF (rating 1490 vs 1535).
H2H favours Helsingborg: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Helsingborg	Falkenbergs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.7	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.97 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.00
X	3.35 → 3.38▲	Pinn 3.38
2	2.31 → 2.32▲	Pinn 2.32

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +16’	2.97	3.35	2.31
20:14 +12’	3.00▲	3.38▲	2.32▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Helsingborg 4–2–0 Falkenbergs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/07/26 Sweden Superettan	Falkenbergs FF	2-3 HT 2-3	Helsingborg
16/08/25 Sweden Superettan	Helsingborg	0-0 HT 0-0	Falkenbergs FF
14/06/25 Sweden Superettan	Falkenbergs FF	2-2 HT 0-1	Helsingborg
16/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Helsingborg	2-1 HT 2-0	Falkenbergs FF
19/10/21 Sweden Superettan	Falkenbergs FF	1-4 HT 1-1	Helsingborg
27/07/21 Sweden Superettan	Helsingborg	4-0 HT 2-0	Falkenbergs FF

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	29	20	5	4	61	18	65
2	Falkenbergs FF	29	16	6	7	54	39	54
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	29	13	9	7	48	37	48
4	Ostersunds FK	29	12	12	5	38	29	48
5	IK Oddevold	29	12	9	8	50	38	45
6	Landskrona BoIS	28	12	8	8	46	33	44
7	Osters IF	28	13	3	12	46	45	42
8	Nordic United FC	29	11	9	9	45	49	42
9	Sandvikens IF	29	11	8	10	47	38	41
10	IFK Varnamo	29	10	5	14	38	48	35
11	Helsingborg	28	8	8	12	37	48	32
12	Ljungskile	29	7	10	12	37	42	31
13	Orebro SK	28	6	11	11	31	42	29
14	Norrby IF	29	5	12	12	31	44	27
15	IK Brage	29	6	8	15	46	57	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	29	6	1	22	21	69	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Helsingborg	Falkenbergs FF
Ljungskile	1-1 D	2-0 W
IK Brage	0-2 L	4-1 W
Ostersunds FK	0-1 L	0-0 D
Landskrona BoIS	2-1 W	4-3 W
Sandvikens IF	0-2 L	2-1 W
Orebro SK	1-1 D	0-1 L
IK Oddevold	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Falkenbergs FF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Helsingborg

DLDLWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
19/10	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
11/10	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
20/09	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
14/09	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
09/09	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-1	7	7	W
05/09	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
01/09	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
23/08	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
15/08	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	5	4	D

Falkenbergs FF

LWLWWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-1	6	0	W
26/10	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
17/10	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	4-1	4-3	4	3	W
11/10	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
18/09	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
13/09	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
10/09	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
05/09	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
24/08	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Helsingborg vs Falkenbergs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Helsingborg win (38%). Probabilities: Helsingborg 38%, draw 27%, Falkenbergs FF 35%.

How many goals are expected in Helsingborg vs Falkenbergs FF?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Helsingborg 1.48 · Falkenbergs FF 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Helsingborg vs Falkenbergs FF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.