Football · Sweden Superettan · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping

Team pages: IFK Varnamo · IFK Norrkoping

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

IFK Varnamo1.45

IFK Norrkoping1.66

1X2

33% 26% 42%

IFK Varnamo Draw IFK Norrkoping

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Varnamo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWLWLW

IFK Norrkoping 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWDWW

Head-to-head

IFK Varnamo 1–5 IFK Norrkoping (6 last)

IFK Norrkoping6-0IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrkoping3-1IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo1-3IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping1-0IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo1-2IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping0-4IFK Varnamo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1514 vs 1600).
H2H favours IFK Norrkoping: 5-0-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Varnamo	IFK Norrkoping
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	2.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.3	3.3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.87 → 3.87	Pinn 3.87
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:22 +64’	3.87	3.88	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Varnamo 1–0–5 IFK Norrkoping

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Sweden Superettan	IFK Norrkoping	6-0 HT 4-0	IFK Varnamo
21/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping	3-1 HT 1-0	IFK Varnamo
27/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Varnamo	1-3 HT 0-2	IFK Norrkoping
19/01/25 Club Friendly List	IFK Norrkoping	1-0 HT 0-0	IFK Varnamo
27/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Varnamo	1-2 HT 0-1	IFK Norrkoping
27/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping	0-4 HT 0-1	IFK Varnamo

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	29	20	5	4	61	18	65
2	Falkenbergs FF	29	16	6	7	54	39	54
3	Ostersunds FK	29	12	12	5	38	29	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	28	13	8	7	46	35	47
5	IK Oddevold	29	12	9	8	50	38	45
6	Landskrona BoIS	28	12	8	8	46	33	44
7	Osters IF	28	13	3	12	46	45	42
8	Nordic United FC	29	11	9	9	45	49	42
9	Sandvikens IF	29	11	8	10	47	38	41
10	IFK Varnamo	29	10	5	14	38	48	35
11	Helsingborg	28	8	8	12	37	48	32
12	Ljungskile	28	7	9	12	35	40	30
13	Orebro SK	28	6	11	11	31	42	29
14	Norrby IF	29	5	12	12	31	44	27
15	IK Brage	29	6	8	15	46	57	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	29	6	1	22	21	69	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Varnamo	IFK Norrkoping
Norrby IF	3-0 W	4-0 W
GIF Sundsvall	1-0 W	4-0 W
Falkenbergs FF	1-2 L	2-1 W
IK Oddevold	2-1 W	0-0 D
Osters IF	1-3 L	3-1 W
Nordic United FC	4-2 W	3-1 W
Varbergs BoIS FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Ljungskile	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Varnamo

DWDWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-0	4	5	W
24/10	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
18/10	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
11/10	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
15/09	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-3	11	1	L
09/09	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-0	4-2	8	3	W
05/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	12	0	D
29/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
24/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	4	4	D

IFK Norrkoping

WWDWDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
25/10	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	4-0	5	4	W
20/10	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-2	9	4	D
13/10	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	2-0	4-0	8	2	W
19/09	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-1	10	2	W
13/09	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
10/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
04/09	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	10	4	D
29/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
24/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Norrkoping win (42%). Probabilities: IFK Varnamo 33%, draw 26%, IFK Norrkoping 42%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping?

The model expects 3.11 goals (IFK Varnamo 1.45 · IFK Norrkoping 1.66), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.