Football · Sweden Superettan · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC

Team pages: GIF Sundsvall · Varbergs BoIS FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

GIF Sundsvall1.35

Varbergs BoIS FC1.56

1X2

32% 27% 41%

GIF Sundsvall Draw Varbergs BoIS FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

GIF Sundsvall 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Varbergs BoIS FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

GIF Sundsvall 1–1–4 Varbergs BoIS FC (6 last)

Varbergs BoIS FC1-0GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall2-3Varbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC0-2GIF Sundsvall
Varbergs BoIS FC3-0GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall1-1Varbergs BoIS FC
GIF Sundsvall1-3Varbergs BoIS FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Varbergs BoIS FC (rating 1434 vs 1520).
H2H favours Varbergs BoIS FC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GIF Sundsvall	Varbergs BoIS FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.6	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.2	4.1 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.99

Under 3.251.81

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	7.79 → 9.00▲	Pinn 9.00
X	5.39 → 5.71▲	Pinn 5.71
2	1.30 → 1.28▼	Pinn 1.28

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:49 +21’	7.79	5.39	1.30
10:49 +22’	8.00▲	5.50▲	1.31▲
12:03 +9’	9.00▲	5.71▲	1.28▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GIF Sundsvall 1–1–4 Varbergs BoIS FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden Superettan	Varbergs BoIS FC	1-0 HT 0-0	GIF Sundsvall
13/09/25 Sweden Superettan	GIF Sundsvall	2-3 HT 1-0	Varbergs BoIS FC
20/07/25 Sweden Superettan	Varbergs BoIS FC	0-2 HT 0-0	GIF Sundsvall
16/08/24 Sweden Superettan	Varbergs BoIS FC	3-0 HT 1-0	GIF Sundsvall
27/04/24 Sweden Superettan	GIF Sundsvall	1-1 HT 0-0	Varbergs BoIS FC
30/07/22 Sweden Allsvenskan	GIF Sundsvall	1-3 HT 0-3	Varbergs BoIS FC

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	29	20	5	4	61	18	65
2	Falkenbergs FF	29	16	6	7	54	39	54
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	29	13	9	7	48	37	48
4	Ostersunds FK	29	12	12	5	38	29	48
5	Landskrona BoIS	29	13	8	8	48	34	47
6	IK Oddevold	29	12	9	8	50	38	45
7	Osters IF	29	14	3	12	49	45	45
8	Nordic United FC	29	11	9	9	45	49	42
9	Sandvikens IF	29	11	8	10	47	38	41
10	IFK Varnamo	29	10	5	14	38	48	35
11	Helsingborg	29	8	8	13	37	51	32
12	Ljungskile	29	7	10	12	37	42	31
13	Orebro SK	29	6	11	12	32	44	29
14	Norrby IF	29	5	12	12	31	44	27
15	IK Brage	29	6	8	15	46	57	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	29	6	1	22	21	69	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GIF Sundsvall	Varbergs BoIS FC
IK Oddevold	0-7 L	3-1 W
IFK Varnamo	0-1 L	1-1 D
IFK Norrkoping	0-4 L	0-2 L
Ljungskile	3-2 W	2-2 D
Landskrona BoIS	0-4 L	1-1 D
Orebro SK	0-3 L	1-2 L
IK Brage	1-0 W	3-2 W
Norrby IF	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Varbergs BoIS FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GIF Sundsvall

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-4	2-4	6	8	L
23/10	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-7	1	2	L
18/10	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
13/10	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
20/09	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-2	3-2	5	1	W
15/09	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-3	0-4	2	0	L
10/09	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
05/09	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
31/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
25/08	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	9	7	L

Varbergs BoIS FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	11	4	D
27/10	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
19/10	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/10	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-1	3-2	12	1	W
14/09	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/09	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
05/09	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	8	0	D
30/08	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	3-0	3-1	5	5	W
25/08	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Varbergs BoIS FC win (41%). Probabilities: GIF Sundsvall 32%, draw 27%, Varbergs BoIS FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

The model expects 2.91 goals (GIF Sundsvall 1.35 · Varbergs BoIS FC 1.56), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.