Football · Sweden Superettan · 19/07, 15:00

Prediction: Nordic United FC vs Orebro SK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Nordic United FC1.72
Orebro SK1.09
1X2
51% 26% 23%
Nordic United FC Draw Orebro SK
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nordic United FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWDLWWDLDD
Orebro SK 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLWLLLLDDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nordic United FC 1519 · Orebro SK 1436
Nordic United FCDrawOrebro SK
Our model51%26%23%
Market51%26%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nordic United FC (rating 1519 vs 1436).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nordic United FCOrebro SK
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.30.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.52.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.4 / 0.1

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Falkenbergs FF 14842 282028
2 Varbergs BoIS FC 14833 281727
3 IFK Norrkoping 14824 231026
4 Landskrona BoIS 14743 221425
5 Ostersunds FK 14644 221922
6 Nordic United FC 14644 232222
7 IK Oddevold 14554 262220
8 Osters IF 14626 212320
9 Helsingborg 14626 262920
10 Sandvikens IF 14545 242019
11 IK Brage 14446 262616
12 Ljungskile 14446 181816
13 Norrby IF 14284 162014
14 Orebro SK 14356 132014
15 IFK Varnamo 143110 153110
16 GIF Sundsvall 143011 11319

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNordic United FCOrebro SK
IK Oddevold 3-3 D 1-4 L
Ostersunds FK 1-1 D 2-3 L
IFK Varnamo 2-0 W 1-0 W
IK Brage 1-0 W 0-3 L
Falkenbergs FF 1-4 L 1-1 D
Ljungskile 2-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Nordic United FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nordic United FC

WWDLWWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 IK Oddevold
Sweden Superettan
2-0 3-3 51 D
21/06 Norrby IF
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-0 63 D
16/06 Landskrona BoIS
Sweden Superettan
0-2 0-2 67 L
09/06 Ostersunds FK
Sweden Superettan
0-1 1-1 84 D
31/05 IFK Varnamo
Sweden Superettan
0-0 2-0 52 W
23/05 IK Brage
Sweden Superettan
0-0 1-0 41 W
17/05 Falkenbergs FF
Sweden Superettan
0-2 1-4 21 L
13/05 IFK Norrkoping
Sweden Superettan
0-0 1-1 32 D
09/05 Osters IF
Sweden Superettan
1-1 4-2 33 W
02/05 Ljungskile
Sweden Superettan
0-0 2-0 34 W

Orebro SK

DLWLLLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Ljungskile
Sweden Superettan
2-1 2-3 44 L
22/06 Sandvikens IF
Sweden Superettan
1-1 1-1 95 D
14/06 Falkenbergs FF
Sweden Superettan
1-0 1-1 112 D
10/06 GIF Sundsvall
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-1 63 L
31/05 Ostersunds FK
Sweden Superettan
2-1 2-3 03 L
26/05 Helsingborg
Sweden Superettan
0-2 1-2 65 L
18/05 IK Oddevold
Sweden Superettan
0-1 1-4 12 L
12/05 IFK Varnamo
Sweden Superettan
0-0 1-0 22 W
08/05 IK Brage
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-3 55 L
02/05 Varbergs BoIS FC
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-0 24 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nordic United FC vs Orebro SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nordic United FC win (51%). Probabilities: Nordic United FC 51%, draw 26%, Orebro SK 23%.

How many goals are expected in Nordic United FC vs Orebro SK?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Nordic United FC 1.72 · Orebro SK 1.09), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nordic United FC vs Orebro SK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.