Football · Sweden Superettan · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK

Team pages: IFK Norrkoping · Ostersunds FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

IFK Norrkoping1.63

Ostersunds FK0.67

1X2

60% 26% 14%

IFK Norrkoping Draw Ostersunds FK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Norrkoping 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDWWDW

Ostersunds FK 3-7-0 (W-D-L)

DDDWDWDDDW

Head-to-head

IFK Norrkoping 4–2–0 Ostersunds FK (6 last)

Ostersunds FK0-2IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping0-0Ostersunds FK
IFK Norrkoping3-0Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK1-2IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping2-2Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK2-4IFK Norrkoping

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1604 vs 1514).
H2H favours IFK Norrkoping: 4-2-0.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Norrkoping	Ostersunds FK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.8	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.7	3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.14 → 2.09▼	Pinn 2.09
X	3.51 → 3.55▲	Pinn 3.55
2	3.21 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +2’	2.14	3.51	3.21
14:56 +117’	2.09▼	3.55▲	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping 4–2–0 Ostersunds FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Sweden Superettan	Ostersunds FK	0-2 HT 0-1	IFK Norrkoping
18/03/23 Club Friendly List	IFK Norrkoping	0-0 HT 0-0	Ostersunds FK
29/08/21 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping	3-0 HT 2-0	Ostersunds FK
15/08/21 Sweden Allsvenskan	Ostersunds FK	1-2 HT 0-1	IFK Norrkoping
10/09/20 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping	2-2 HT 1-0	Ostersunds FK
27/06/20 Sweden Allsvenskan	Ostersunds FK	2-4 HT 1-1	IFK Norrkoping

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	27	18	5	4	54	18	59
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	15	6	6	52	37	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	12	12	4	38	26	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	13	7	7	45	34	46
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	12	7	8	45	32	43
6	IK Oddevold	28	11	9	8	48	37	42
7	Osters IF	28	13	3	12	46	45	42
8	Sandvikens IF	28	11	8	9	46	36	41
9	Nordic United FC	28	10	9	9	41	47	39
10	IFK Varnamo	28	9	5	14	35	48	32
11	Helsingborg	27	8	7	12	36	47	31
12	Ljungskile	27	7	8	12	34	39	29
13	Norrby IF	27	5	12	10	31	37	27
14	IK Brage	28	6	8	14	45	55	26
15	Orebro SK	27	5	11	11	30	42	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	6	1	21	19	65	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Norrkoping	Ostersunds FK
Orebro SK	2-2 D	1-0 W
Varbergs BoIS FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Ljungskile	2-2 D	0-0 D
Nordic United FC	3-1 W	4-1 W
Falkenbergs FF	2-1 W	0-0 D
Sandvikens IF	4-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Norrkoping

WWWDWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	4-0	5	4	W
20/10	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-2	9	4	D
13/10	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	2-0	4-0	8	2	W
19/09	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-1	10	2	W
13/09	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
10/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
04/09	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	10	4	D
29/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
24/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
15/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	4-1	6	2	W

Ostersunds FK

DDDWDWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-1	4-1	8	0	W
17/10	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
10/10	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
14/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
10/09	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	14	1	D
07/09	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
29/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
24/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
16/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Norrkoping win (60%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping 60%, draw 26%, Ostersunds FK 14%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK?

The model expects 2.3 goals (IFK Norrkoping 1.63 · Ostersunds FK 0.67), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.