Football · Sweden Superettan · 01/08, 13:00

Prediction: Ostersunds FK vs Osters IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Ostersunds FK1.75

Osters IF1.28

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Ostersunds FK Draw Osters IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ostersunds FK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDLWWD

Osters IF 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Ostersunds FK 1–2–3 Osters IF (6 last)

Osters IF1-0Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK0-0Osters IF
Osters IF1-1Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK1-2Osters IF
Osters IF0-1Ostersunds FK
Osters IF2-1Ostersunds FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ostersunds FK 1536 · Osters IF 1498

	Ostersunds FK	Draw	Osters IF
Our model	48%	26%	27%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Osters IF: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ostersunds FK	Osters IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	2.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:06 +4’	1.91	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ostersunds FK 1–2–3 Osters IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden Superettan	Osters IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Ostersunds FK
10/08/24 Sweden Superettan	Ostersunds FK	0-0 HT 0-0	Osters IF
16/06/24 Sweden Superettan	Osters IF	1-1 HT 0-0	Ostersunds FK
04/11/23 Sweden Superettan	Ostersunds FK	1-2 HT 0-2	Osters IF
29/04/23 Sweden Superettan	Osters IF	0-1 HT 0-0	Ostersunds FK
27/08/22 Sweden Superettan	Osters IF	2-1 HT 1-1	Ostersunds FK

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Falkenbergs FF	16	9	4	3	32	24	31
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	15	9	3	3	32	19	30
3	IFK Norrkoping	15	9	2	4	26	10	29
4	Ostersunds FK	16	7	5	4	26	21	26
5	Landskrona BoIS	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
6	Nordic United FC	15	7	4	4	25	22	25
7	Osters IF	15	7	2	6	24	25	23
8	Helsingborg	15	7	2	6	29	31	23
9	Ljungskile	16	6	4	6	23	21	22
10	IK Oddevold	15	5	5	5	28	26	20
11	Sandvikens IF	16	5	4	7	25	25	19
12	Norrby IF	16	3	9	4	21	23	18
13	IK Brage	16	4	5	7	28	29	17
14	Orebro SK	15	3	5	7	13	22	14
15	IFK Varnamo	16	3	2	11	17	34	11
16	GIF Sundsvall	16	3	0	13	13	36	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ostersunds FK	Osters IF
Norrby IF	2-2 D	2-1 W
GIF Sundsvall	2-0 W	4-0 W
IFK Norrkoping	0-2 L	0-2 L
Ljungskile	1-1 D	1-4 L
IK Brage	4-2 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ostersunds FK

WWLWDDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
18/07	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
27/06	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/06	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
14/06	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
09/06	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
31/05	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	1-2	3-2	7	3	W
23/05	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
17/05	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
13/05	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	2-1	4-2	3	2	W

Osters IF

LLWWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-2	11	7	W
10/07	Lyngby Club Friendly List	–	0-3	–	–	L
27/06	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-2	10	2	L
21/06	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
15/06	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	4-0	4-0	5	4	W
10/06	Trelleborgs FF Club Friendly List	2-0	2-1	0	1	W
09/06	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
30/05	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	4	1	W
25/05	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
17/05	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-4	9	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ostersunds FK vs Osters IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ostersunds FK win (47%). Probabilities: Ostersunds FK 47%, draw 26%, Osters IF 27%.

How many goals are expected in Ostersunds FK vs Osters IF?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Ostersunds FK 1.75 · Osters IF 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ostersunds FK vs Osters IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.