Football · Sweden Superettan · 10/10, 17:00
Prediction: Norrby IF vs Osters IF
Team pages: Norrby IF · Osters IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Norrby IF1.58
Osters IF1.29
1X2
Norrby IF
Draw
Osters IF
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Norrby IF
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Osters IF
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Norrby IF
1–2–3
Osters IF
(6 last)
- Osters IF2-1Norrby IF
- Norrby IF2-0Osters IF
- Osters IF2-0Norrby IF
- Norrby IF0-0Osters IF
- Osters IF0-0Norrby IF
- Norrby IF0-2Osters IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Norrby IF 1453 · Osters IF 1501
| Norrby IF | Draw | Osters IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Osters IF (rating 1453 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Osters IF: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Norrby IF | Osters IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Norrby IF 1–2–3 Osters IF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Sweden Superettan | Osters IF | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Norrby IF |
| 29/10/22 Sweden Superettan | Norrby IF | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Osters IF |
| 07/05/22 Sweden Superettan | Osters IF | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Norrby IF |
| 23/10/21 Sweden Superettan | Norrby IF | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Osters IF |
| 05/06/21 Sweden Superettan | Osters IF | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Norrby IF |
| 11/10/20 Sweden Superettan | Norrby IF | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Osters IF |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 16 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 45 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 43 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 40 |
| 6 | Sandvikens IF | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 37 |
| 7 | IK Oddevold | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Osters IF | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 38 | 36 |
| 9 | Nordic United FC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38 | 40 | 36 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | 30 |
| 11 | IFK Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 45 | 29 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 24 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 39 | 24 |
| 15 | IK Brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 48 | 23 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 19 | 53 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Norrby IF | Osters IF |
|---|---|---|
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Ljungskile | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Landskrona BoIS | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| GIF Sundsvall | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Sandvikens IF | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Falkenbergs FF | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Ostersunds FK | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Osters IF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Norrby IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 14/09 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Osters IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/09 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/08 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Norrby IF vs Osters IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Norrby IF win (43%). Probabilities: Norrby IF 43%, draw 26%, Osters IF 31%.
How many goals are expected in Norrby IF vs Osters IF?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Norrby IF 1.58 · Osters IF 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Norrby IF vs Osters IF?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.